dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Those freezing rain totals in SCT though..............
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RH @H7 of 30% was no mid level magic.
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Thanks, But we already know the thermals are junk, That wasn't where this was going.
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He's the one that's been drinking, What a weenie, Its ok to say that some fell off the horse.
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Not by what its done over the last 24hrs or so i would agree, But the GFS had remained on the northern side of the goal post where it seems all the others have moved towards it, And certainly not going by its thermals a most know where that lies.
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And factoring BY biases...............
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I said this earlier, The GFS had led the way, Most discounted it, The Euro was a southern outlier for several runs.
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We tried to tell them.
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Its not about us up here in there lol, That's why i posted it in here, The models have been moving more north with the whole system, I thought the GFS has done a good job so far on this, Wouldn't mind seeing a couple more tics north either over the next couple runs and overnight as we get closer, Right now, Barring us not getting the next weekend event up here, This month will go down well below normal for snowfall.
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If we get no phase, This is what were left with.
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A little magic.
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The meandering bowling ball down south.
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Track wise on coastals and seems to be last to the party.
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Pretty big bump in the short term for the king on the clowns. 06z 12z
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In years past, It has performed well in these types i have always thought, Not so much in Miller A's or B's though.
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Some had laughed at the GFS but it has been pretty steadfast BL issues not included bringing this pretty far north from being the outlier to most all the others moving towards it.
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What hrs?
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This year, That's a foot.
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Looks like you flip at some point? No?
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12z Euro caving bringing the precip further north up here from 06z, Looks a bit warmer as well, But it was also pretty meager with qpf this far north so just coming more inline with the other models.
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Hasn't been in the cards so far for more wintry weather up here, Your area and mine kind of gets lumped into NNE which i consider more into CNE, But some think we all live in VT and had a record year last year and was off to a great start this season which is not the case, We have been up and down over the past several seasons though and really can't complain.
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What did hr 384 have?
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That icestorm here in 1998 was over a two day period of mod/hvy at time rates with temps in the mid 20's, That was 2-3.0" accretion here and was devastating to say the least, By Thursday, Jan. 8, hundreds of thousands of homes were without power. CMP estimated that 2 million to 3 million feet of power lines fell and 2,000 utility poles needed to be replaced, along with 5,250 transformers. Bangor Hydro-Electric Co. likewise was hit hard.
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You need lighter rates over a longer period for siggy accretion of ice or it just runs off, Have had plenty of experience with this, But .25" or slightly above will cause issues.
