dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Exactly
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Weenie Jack over here, That would be a first, Models keep a trough nearby though on the last few runs between the ULL and the offshore low.
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It was not a real cold winter, But it was a snowy one, We had a lot of these over runners that season, I don't think areas in CT did well with them if i recall, But Hippys area to Brian to me did exceptional, I think Ray did too, Its actually my 3rd best winter all time
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This storm reminds me a lot to what we had in the winter of 07/08
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Still a good 12hrs before we see a flake here, I'll know by you guys obs how this is going to play out but i have a good idea already.
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Just read the GYX AFD, Looks like there going to take them up some.
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These always start sooner then modeled too.
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Gawd is that RPM unstable.
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Wheres Greg? He's probably is not going to like his short term meso, I don't trust it myself to be honest.
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RGEM is a short range model and can suck with the best of them, They can fail just as well as a med or long range one.
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I can hear some pen tapping.........
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Some were very disappointed when they got there 20" and no warning.................
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Seem to be getting a little trough enhancement in there too.
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That would also mean that we continue to see upticks to the north on modeling, I know i would be much happier to get more in the way of qpf up here to a lot of others unhappiness.................lol
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Looks like another couple tics north on the 18z GFS, Verbatim that would be warning snow up here.......
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This is fact.
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Will be some coming in to toss these runs soon if it continues.
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Just looking at the 18z reggie just off the surface maps that are out it looks to be warm aloft with a lot of ice in CT and pushes pellets even north of the pike after an initial thump of snow.
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Unless someone has done one already, One of you in SNE should go start an OBS thread for this one.
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Last i have to say on this as not to clog this up anymore then we may have already done, Valid, And kind of where i been on this, GFS has remained in the Northern camp without having made wild swings in a different direction where the Euro has had to make quite a few bump adjustments north to be more inline with the other models.
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No prob, This should be a good one for you down there.
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Just going by what it shows there, If that is sleet, Then its increased on that run.
