dryslot

Accidents galore up here this morning, Section of the tpke was closed earlier for a tractor trailer and several cars off the road heading south in Falmouth.

Good direction for here to stay wedged too with that HP posistion nosing in from the NE, Doubt we would warm at the surface at all throughout the event.

Hard.

That HP on the GFS was displaced 50+ mi east and weaker of where the Euro has it.

GFS at 18z was a couple tics warmer but i don't care where that is right now as most know about how it handles the thermals, Euro was a tic or two better, That's what matters more i think.

HP, 4mb stronger, From 1032 mb to 1036 mb that run north of Maine.

Eckster's take early on for up here.... .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... 12z deterministic models and latest ensemble information have come into better agreement today with regards to a potentially significant winter storm for portions of our forecast area Sunday night through Tuesday. However with that said, this is a complex, potentially 2-part system which may spur further model outcome changes going forward over the next couple of days. Therefore, forecast confidence is precip type(s), timing, and amounts remains low. After a fair weather Saturday and probably much of Sunday, a large an amplifying trough will approach from the west along with a significant slug of moisture advection and forcing for ascent. At the same time, mid and upper level confluence well to the northeast of our region will reinforce cold dry low level air over the forecast area. Multi-model and ensemble consensus was followed here and shows a rather impressive slug of QPF arriving across southwestern zones late Sunday, then gradually progressing northeastward Sunday night. The emphasis is on the word gradually as low level dry air and synoptic scale downward motion will make for a slow go for the leading edge. Precipitation type is very uncertain, but a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain appears to be a good bet based on the latest consensus thermodynamic profiles. Some rain will be possible for a time in the far southeast as boundary layer temperatures remain somewhat warm. As previously mentioned, the pattern is complex with a lot of amplification and "blockiness". Therefore, it doesn`t make much sense at this time to try and pinpoint exact timing, dominant precipitation types, amounts, and impacts this far out. More suppression would lead to a farther south scenario as less precipitation for our CWA as a whole. A farther north scenario with less upstream blocking would result in a warmer scenario for most. However, the main message here is that there is the potential for a significant amount of snow, sleet, freezing rain and possibly some rain for the forecast area centered around Sunday night through Tuesday as a prolonged, 2-part system may take shape. At this time, consensus for the location of the heaviest amount of precipitation is across southern and coastal zones, but this could easily change. &&

lol

Kitchen sink event.

Models want to bring another mixed event around the 3rd as well into the Northeast.

Winter weather advisory for overnight into tomorow, Up to 1" sleet and some ZR, Temps down to 21.9°F

We could work with those heading into Jan, Can get away with a little more hostility as we move along.

You owe me a Coke?

Whoa, Mutthafukka!

To late.........lol

Looks like we are moving towards a mixed winter event as we head into new year, Discuss it here.

I would just like to be able to see more upper level charts for the Euro, That's the only part that blows is the limited amount that's available.

Yeah this is looking to get prolonged from the 30th-1st

Don't be a dave bob...........

This is starting to look like more of a NYE deal up here as the WAA part is looking less especially on the Euro.

It would be snow

Ice is a factor that can't be ignored for some here, Sleet as well.

Everyone has 1 or 2 they would like to have back.