dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Maybe you should start a thread for it.
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Pin, Unpin, Pin, Unpin, She gone, Not gone.
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Next week has the best chance of seeing winter weather especially up here then having to rely on a coastal that either cuts or whiffs just being close to the cold air source and having the boundary near by for over running precip to ride along in these SWFE's.
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I like reading then too, But you have supercomputers that can't even figure out the mid range and short range forecast so it is the dart board approach, I suppose some aspects, They can get it right but no way were at the point where someone nails a seasonal forecast overall, Just to many variables that go into it.
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LR forecasting is pretty simple......
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I would think we are similar to interior SNE, Not sure about PF's area because he always has the upslope component which we don't have, I think ORH and here share the same seasonal snowfall number, Were at 70", Next week looks quite interesting actually could end up a long duration over a few days if some of these waves that ride the boundary develop and we remain on the northern side.
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His chances are my chances, And we will gift wrap the moose patties and send them south.........
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Now we just need the Icon, KMA and ARPEGE and we can lock it in!
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At least with an overrunning event, Don't have to worry much about whiffing, Just a matter if the air mass is cold enough to support snow up here anyways.
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Local on the 8's cover music from back in the "day"
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https://theholydonut.com/
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I'd bet dollars to donuts, Its going to happen again.
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Today for example at 12z then 18z, The look it had @h5 digging the northern stream south only to revert back to losing it at 18z
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So far, There has been no model that has handled this one well at all, They have all waffled at one point or another, The Euro has been the one to tease you from one run to the next.
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That sucks in January, Should never happen.
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Below normal.
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Looked worse because it is worse, Northern stream sucked balz.
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Then i would suspect some more changes, The last storm we had last week that looked like snow and once sampled went to ottawa as we all recall, Was pretty far east and just kept coming west every cycle thereafter, Not saying this one will, But until everything is in the network, Cant totally write it off.
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So basically, Is it 0z tonight when everything is sampled? I'm going to 12z tomorrow but i'd have to go back and see what Legro had said this morning.
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Yeah, Heres 18z 12z
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Its all about the northern stream.
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Nam made the step towards the Euro @H5
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It got left behind at 06z, And the other models are doing that as well, Its makes all the difference.
