dryslot

18z HRRR looks good, Foot Hills jack.

Blizzards at Georges and Jeffreys ledge.

Looks like a few shots at some systems on the Euro the first 15 days into Dec, The cold won't be a problem.

I'm guessing they added some areas to the watch. Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gray ME 1256 PM EST Wed Nov 27 2024 MEZ014-018>021-NHZ003>009-011-015-280600- /O.CON.KGYX.WS.A.0009.241128T1200Z-241129T1200Z/ Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central Interior Cumberland- Androscoggin-Kennebec-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Cheshire- Western And Central Hillsborough- Including the cities of Livermore Falls, Weare, Pittsfield, Croydon, Lebanon, Woodstock, Grantham, North Windham, Sugar Hill, Crawford Notch, Surry, Chatham, Concord, Turner, Goshen, Mont Vernon, Hooksett, Waterville Valley, Alfred, Dunbarton, Lincoln, Athens, Sharon, Plymouth, Waterville, Newport, Madison, Amherst, North Conway, Brookfield, Wales, Tuftonboro, Palmyra, Marlow, Goffstown, Embden, Jaffrey, Canterbury, Milford, Meredith, China, Ashland, Bridgewater, Cornville, Lempster, Auburn, New Gloucester, Greene, Goodwins Mills, Ellsworth, Albany, Lewiston, Berwick, Moultonborough, Claremont, Ossipee, Keene, Bethlehem, Thornton, Lyme, Cornish, Buxton, Littleton, Rumney, Gilford, Jackson, Augusta, Sullivan, Hollis, Conway, Charlestown, Sidney, Palermo, Unity, Wakefield, Sanford, Loudon, Vassalboro, Gorham, Sabattus, Windsor, Gilsum, Minot, Wolfeboro, Peterborough, Holderness, Limington, Laconia, Boscawen, Skowhegan, and Gray 1256 PM EST Wed Nov 27 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations greater than 6 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Maine and central, northern, and southern New Hampshire. * WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday morning. * IMPACTS...Periods of moderate and heavy snow will combine with low visibility to create dangerous driving conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact holiday travel. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ DS

Congrats Eastport?

12z Euro is a bit warm, Wanted to see a couple tics SE not NW.

Ski areas going forward are going to be able to lay down a nice carpet into December.

Take them up.

Depending on what degree the wind direction comes out of, NW Maine mtns could benefit as well with upslope snow, Myself here, We could catch a well timed clipper or two, Have had some good ones over the years blow up in time in the GOM and really pile up the snow well back west in the comma head.

LE areas are going to pile it up in december.

See if you can get a homeless chick to take care of it.

The last few years fell on its face as we got closer.

Its going to pile up east of the foot hills with that fetch.

There's going to be some 1-2"/hr plus rates in there for someone with that strengthening surface low.

I agree, But it did win this one, It latched on early and held serve.

12z GFS has bowed to the king,

Tell her your staying put, Then duck...........

Yes there and IZG is where i would favor the goods.

Yes, You need to know when to pick your battles and don't overplay your hand, But i still like to push the envelope a bit to see how much more rope i can get to hang myself........lol

The goods are just 1 mile NW of me, ha ha, Another tic or two south will work.

I usually give her the shovel and tell her to do the steps, Path to the oil tank and the ramp for her shed.

lol, Well, I still need to choose the hill to die on at times, But she knows my tendencies, She already said i'm guessing you'll be staying up most of the night........lol

Worked for me going on 42 yrs, Had to put your foot down early on and don't let up...........

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Clouds will increase tonight as high pressure exits to the east and a developing area of low pressure moves northeastward over the Ohio River Valley. This low pressure system is progged to arrive over southern New England by Thursday afternoon before it crosses over the Gulf of Maine Thursday night into early Friday morning and then exiting over the Canadian Maritimes. This system will bring impactful rain and snow to the region for the Thanksgiving holiday. Below are the latest forecast details. Timing: Latest hi-res and global ensemble guidance indicates that light snow and rain will begin to overspread the region from west to east during the pre-dawn hours on Thursday. Precipitation rates will begin to increase on Thursday afternoon through the evening hours as FGEN forcing increases along with increasing omega within the DGZ zone. The latest WPC snowband probability tracker (SPT) indicates the potential for snowfall rates of 1-2"/hr across the foothills and lakes region of ME and NH during the afternoon and evening, which will result in rapidly deteriorating travel conditions for the thanksgiving holiday. Snow and coastal rain/snow mix will then begin to end from west to east during the late evening and overnight hours. Precipitation Types: Most locations are likely to begin as a period of light snow early Thursday morning before coastal and southeastern NH locations transition to mainly rain for several hours during the day as h850 temperatures warm above 0C. A mixture of rain and snow is then likely for the interior including the lakes regions for much of the day with light accumulations through the early afternoon. Mostly snow is then likely for the foothills, mountains, and far north. As the low deepens while traveling over the Gulf of Maine Thursday afternoon and evening it will begin to wrap around colder air and this combined with strong dynamic cooling will likely allow for most locations including the coast to transition to at least a mix of rain and snow but in many cases it will likely be primarily snow by late afternoon. This is when travel conditions will begin to quickly deteriorate as increased snowfall rates combined with a lowering sun angle and cooling temperatures allow for rapid accumulations. Amounts and Headlines: The snowfall forecast has increased based on latest forecast guidance. There continues to be uncertainty in exact amounts though due to discrepancies between individual model runs and ensemble suites but generally did bring at least some accumulation to the entire region. More specifically, the current forecast calls for a slushy 1-2" along the coast with 2-4" about 20 miles or so inland. Amounts then increase to 4-8" across the foothills and western NH with localized amounts nearing 10". It is important to keep in mind, however, that these amounts are likely to change some as new information becomes available but despite this impacts are expected to the holiday travel. As a result, in collaboration with neighboring WFOs and the WPC went ahead and issued a Winter Storm Watch where confidence is highest to reach warning level snowfall. Some areas under this watch are a little below warning thresholds currently but given the timing of the system falling on a holiday combined with likely heavy snowbanding, and wet nature that the snow will be, believe a watch was the best route for now. Advisories will likely be needed for much of the interior. Other Impacts: This looks to be mostly a one threat system as winds will largely remain below 25 mph and no coastal flooding is expected. &&