Thats is my take as well, We can get by on a less favorable set up in many cases where other areas need it, A +2-3 month in Jan still yields snow up here temp wise, But a solid block and strong confluence is not very friendly when your closer to those sources, This is why we need a favorable storm track thru the GOM, Not one squeezed south of here to the ENE, So that’s all I’m looking at now, Lot of cooks in the kitchen of flow right now.