dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Better run, Hugger and warmer though.
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That is a pretty strong northern stream s/w thats ready to drop in the trough
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Northern stream is driving the bus.
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I would have to say, Going to need to see more then just one GFS OP run producing this, Just stick to the Ensembles for now, They have showed improvements the last few cycles.
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Dr No with a resounding NO.
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Not enough on the 12z Euro but it was a slight improvement over 06z.
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Probably not IMHO.
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I changed that the other day from my Feb69 one to change up the juju as this is what has been happening to us.
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We will need more help, I'm skeptical.
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Yeah, Not a fan and usually not a good outcome up here, We really need to see a bit more relaxation of the blocking to get this further north before the ENE move, As intense as this was at the surface and only gets to that lat before moving east, Tells me something weaker is going to be worse and maybe even further south.
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We probably need to see a few more cycles showing something similar to believe it.
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Yeah, This one.
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Well some of us do not.
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The finer details will still need to be worked out if we even have a similar scenario going forward, The main thing now i think is we need to see more consistency from the OP models going forward to assume this is not another head fake.
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I would assume the GEFS to be better, But if you looked at what was posted earlier this morning with the ensembles, There's been a steady trend back north and west with a lot of members.
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Its still an A as it was in the gulf of mexico before jumping to the carolinas.
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This would be further NW then depicted for deformation bands
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Lot of parts moving around at H5. Consolidating some and others moving away going to make it chaotic until we get closer.
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We can work on that though, At least it didn't sail off the Carolinas.
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That was a better phase and consolidation of both streams, A bit slower and the block relaxed a bit too.
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Down to 963mb
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Down to 966mb
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This is going to nuke.
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Yeah, This is a bigger change then just a little, This one is coming up the coast this run.
