mappy
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Everything posted by mappy
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Sounding IMBY per NAM (looking at 3k and 12k) and I hover right at 31/32 the entire time. If it's dumping precip, it should be snow. A sneaky warm nose pops up around hr66 but precip is moving out by then.
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The last week has been cold up my way with lows in the 20s/30s - hoping that helps going into the weekend. 1/4 - 31.2 1/3 - 23.9 1/2 - 25.6 1/1 - 31.9 12/31 - 35.2 12/30 - 34.3 12/29 - 37.0
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I need just enough snow to get out of driving to Derwood for a family gathering. lol
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trends!
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cool, see you in the next thread then.
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This might help! https://blog.weather.us/guidelines-for-determining-winter-precip-types/
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You're right, but even rain/snow line shows up on CC Checking GFS soundings for MBY, and I'm 31-32 the entire time. Going to be a mix of rain, snow, rain/snow even for me.
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not as nice as MDs https://en-us.topographic-map.com/map-m4z4/Virginia/
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Elevation will only help so much, eventually the warmer column will win. Front end thump is where it's at before we all dread the mix line on CC lol
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i chuckled fwiw
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I am trying to think of who may have called NE MD a snowy area. There's a long running joke about NE MD PUMMELED, because it never is lol
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lol what a post
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Zoomed in version
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Easy for us to say, we are in a better spot than most.
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I didn't specify more of what, just more. Not worrying about temps right now.
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Correct. There should be more after hr90
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Ooof just kidding. Worse for all. Qpf is the same as 19z, and temps aren’t any warmer than 19z, so not sure why totals are lower?
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01z is coming in now. Better further north, about the same near DC. Map soon.
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Can’t be disappointed when you set expectations low lol
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FWIW, 19z NWS Blend of Models (aka the NBM that has been mentioned) snow map. It is a step back from 13z that had DC getting 2”, and my backyard in the 8-9” range
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lol at this place
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lol it's Tuesday.
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the line is going to waffle back and forth as we get closer. everyone should know their climo in these situations and go from there.
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i dont understand the whiplash in the storm thread.
