mappy

No doubt this system has some juice in it, but the majority of it will fall as a cold rain, my backyard included. pouring freezing rain doesn't accumulate like freezing drizzle, it runs off before it can freeze on surfaces. And with a modest air mass ahead of the system, surfaces aren't going to be that cold to begin with. I think everyone is going to see a period of sleet, then freezing rain. Most south and east of 95 will change over quickly. NW crew will stay frozen longer, but even then they will turn to a cold pouring rain, with the exception of those way out of west in the mountains. we've done this dance before, everyone should know how it goes.

yeah dont think WB has that output. I'd def take the freezing rain maps WB offers with a grain of salt. they are overdone.

krobus has everything!

not even worth thinking about the what if.

that model output isn't happening.

no it was from pivotal

thats not happening with this setup, so best not to get your hopes up.

no way are people going to see .5-1" of freezing rain. thats stupid.

its not specified, so i assume its an otherwise normal school day from home.

yep. i dont mind it if it means K gets out in June before the solstice. last year was stupid late. and two of those days was for rain and nothing (as Balt Co decided to close the entire county for the early Jan storm that hit you all south while I got clouds)

@H2O first, you're old. our avatars are different seasons all together second, yes that meme is spot on

I voted against it as well, as I agree with you. My kid is older so virtual learning is easier, but still sucks to make them miss a snow day because we already used up previous snow days. My first winter in Parkton was 13/14, where we got 70" that year and kids were in school very late into June. Not us because she was only 1 at the time, but I felt for parents who had to delay summer vacations because of how many snow days they had to make up. Balt Co doesn't even list adding days to the end of year. Just day 1-5 is closure, 6+ is virtual learning on a 2hr delay schedule.

yes, but that's freezing rain. sleet doesn't accrue like freezing rain does. it piles up like snow instead.

you're welcome to have the sleet. i hate it. Right. This year will be different. Balt Co has said schools will have 5 days of actual closures for weather before the switch to virtual learning. For my area, thats great because having to tack on days at the end of year sucks. Last year my kid didn't get out of school until the like 6/20

about .4 of qpf IMBY before I hit 33. yay to pouring sleet!

Ha! I remember that too growing up in AA County. Would always silently curse those in the "hereford zone" and their snow days If only I had known where my future would lead me

its probably easier for BaltCo because its a north/south split vs east/west. The Hunt Valley/Cockeysville area being the cut-off for that zone makes perfect sense. Anything north of there is the Hereford zone, 4 elementary schools, 1 middle, 1 high school. Once you get down to HV/Cockeysville it gets messier with all the districts and locations of schools. And as I have learned, it could be 30 and puking snow here while its 35 and rain at work in HV

they do if its a big event that's been modeled for days. something like today, if there was anyone out chasing, it would have been locals only.

Ha, fair enough. Happy delay to your kids!

does howard county not split like baltimore county does? BaltCo has the Hereford Zone, then the southern part and my kid could have a day off while the southern half of the county goes to school.

quarter inch or more. I could see places under the winter storm watch going ice storm warning by tomorrow

LWX 4am discussion .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Clouds will be thickening Wednesday morning in advance of storm system developing over the TN River Valley and southern mid- Atlantic. Overrunning precip is expected to move into the central Shenandoah Valley and central VA Wed afternoon. With very high 850- 700 mb thicknesses, main p-type through Thu is expected to be frza west of the Blue Ridge Mountains, fzra to rain east of Blue Ridge and I-95, and mainly rain along and east of I-95. This is going to be a very heavy precip event with even the "driest" top three ensemble members from the EPS showing an inch or more of liquid and median values of 1.5 to 2.0 inches. The source of cold air is likely too far north (northern Quebec or Newfoundland) to keep the cold air in place for a long period of time, however, in-situ damming from evaporational cooling will likely help strengthen the wedge. Given the amount of precip expected, there is the potential for signifcant icing to occur across the higher elevs and deeper valleys in eastern WV and western MD. For this reason, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for areas west of the Blue Ridge and Skyline Drive with likelihood of Ice Storm Warnings needed by Wed morning. The storm system will be crossing the area late Thu night with steady precip ending, but some wrap around rain/showers and mountain snow showers lingering into Fri. There is also the potential for strong winds across the mountains Thu that will have additional impacts on trees and powerlines with ice accretion and those in the mountain areas should be prepared for extended power outages and road closures.

LWX dropped those 1-2 snow totals, <1 for most

Winter storm watch for places west of Winchester/Martinsburg/Hagerstown, mostly for the ice ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations in excess of one quarter of an inch possible.

^ gross. That would be up there with the early February 2014 event (before the bigger snow mid month). Picked up .3” zr from that one and lost power for a day plus.