33 and precip to my south. Rained at some point earlier given wet ground. mPING reports of a mix to my west, and snow north of me in PA. Expecting a mix or all snow when precip comes north
This explains it well, with graphics. Note, it’s from a met up in the Maine area, but synoptic details apply all the same
https://forecasterjack.com/glossary/glossary-of-cold-season-terms/norlun-trough/
Probably because you’re just outside the CCB and getting the subsidence. My snow, at least per gfs kuchie, is a combo of accumulating daytime snow (thank you elevation) and being on or in edge of CCB later
So many little things that can boom or bust this forecast. Daytime temps/rates will impact total accumulations before sunset, then where the heavier band(s) set up overnight. It will be easy to get 12” if you’re under the CCB, while dry air will kill snow nearby.
Hard to say. I think @high risk said something earlier this week about downsides to snow depth but I don’t recall the details
Rooting for you!
Agreed!
Yeah 12k just isn’t as detailed. 3k thermals are usually pretty good within a day. They did well 1/31