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mappy

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  2. snip from it, reference our storm Recent models remain agreeable with showing shortwave energy pivoting through the southern side of the broad and deep trough serving to form a surface low near the East Coast Tuesday into Wednesday. 12/18Z and now the 00Z model guidance generally shows low pressure developing near the Southeast Coast by early Tuesday, but with some spread in the formation/track that is amplified by the fact that even relatively small differences would have considerable sensible weather differences. With the 12/18Z suite of models, the GEFS and EC mean showed similar low tracks northward across the western Atlantic and a fairly strong system reaching New England or the Canadian Maritimes by early Wednesday. 12/18Z GFS runs were most like the means, so favored that cluster for the WPC forecast. The 12Z and now the 00Z ECMWF deterministic runs are more offshore where hardly any precipitation is onshore of the East Coast. This seems unlikely based on other guidance and the EC ensemble mean and members, but unfortunately the ECMWF-initialized machine learning models did not seem to run for the 12Z cycle, so we lack that piece of information that could help with the model diagnostics. Meanwhile the 12Z CMC showed reasonable alignment in the track though a bit faster than preferred, but now the 00Z CMC has a track considerably inland that would spread rain to some Mid-Atlantic areas. The 00Z GFS also shows differences from its previous runs, with a dual structure to the low early Wednesday with some low pressure hanging near the DelMarVa, and not consolidating until later Wednesday. Overall, the forecast details remain low confidence as the storm track spread is still high.
  3. I don’t think that’s our Dude either
  4. I believe it’s actually a taptalk thing. I remember it did that for me too when I posted from it vs safari
  5. With that said, tomorrow sounds like a good day for a thread.
  6. yall know creating a thread doesn't have a single impact on a storm, right?
  7. That and the early August severe event.
  8. Ha, I never go out in the field. I am very comfortable behind the computer doing my thing LOLOL much like me being told they have GIS data to send, and it's a PDF with layers I have to georeference, then digitize. Sigh. Yay GIS!! It's the best. Right?! NAD27 should just be abolished IMO
  9. hahaha we are talking about coordinate systems. each coordinate system has a geodetic datum, which is the reference used for positioning the earth when locations were collected. Most commonly used is NAD83, which is based on the geodetic reference system of 1980. NAD27 is a totally different ellipse. If you were to plot the same points using each datum, they would not line up exactly, there would be an offset to take into account that change in earth reference position. fun stuff!
  10. It's incredibly annoying hahaha. I will be sent coordinates, but not the system they are in, so it's a guessing game. Always guess feet vs meters first, then narrow down to state plane or utm zones. I never ever check NAD27 systems. It's ancient. Get with the times people.
  11. people who use NAD27 for state plane instead of NAD83 should be maimed. fuck those people.
  12. It went out again for a minute. Rain almost done here, still pretty gusty though. Congrats on trivia!
  13. Thank you! It’s been a nice treat, especially since Tuesdays is her late night where we wouldn’t be home until after 9. I’ll take an unexpected free evening!
  14. Guess it’s good they closed the bridge almost 2hrs ago.
  15. lolol love it. Meanwhile my 5th grader came home early, cheering to a night off from dance. She did her homework, then crafts while I finished up my work day. We made dinner together and got to sit and eat without rushing out the door. It’s been wonderful.
  16. MD Mesonet location in Easton gusting in the 30s
  17. yeah, high tides will cause major flooding with the fetch straight up the bay.
  18. Yeah, that 5-9pm timeframe was our concern.
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