mappy

banter thread please

yes, this too. good catch.

recon flights will always have dropsondes into the eyewall and the eye, it is best to look for those readings when making definitive statements about pressure/wind. they can be found further down on the tropical tidbits recon page for Florence.

nope

beautiful

technically Wilmington is within the 35" contour, so it would be 35"+

I understand that, but just yesterday people were tossing the GFS run that did the exact same thing the Euro did. So which is it? The Euro yesterday, or the GFS today? The ridge is the big player here -- and I honestly think up until it gets to the coast, those details, the slowing down/strength/stall/where it goes, will literally be worked out last minute. People need to be careful making definitive statements.

one run outcome is not a trend, nor can one say its a the start of a trend.

check next time that you are posting the right information.

The ridge to the north is keeping the storm south. see the red area. the gfs had this weaker, and not as far west, in previous runs, thus it allowed Florence to come up the coast more. The ridge expands west as the run goes on, which causes the stall and the eventual inland movement of Florence. The Euro has had the same depiction.

I'm not sure how the NHC can be more proactive in its warning for surge/flooding than this: 1. A life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the coastlines of South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia, and a Storm Surge Watch is in effect for a portion of this area. All interests from South Carolina into the mid-Atlantic region should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Life-threatening, catastrophic flash flooding and significant river flooding is possible over portions of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic states from late this week into early next week, as Florence is expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and moves inland.

in air recon still reporting a slight inner eye wall. not quite sure its done ERC yet.

tornado threat is always possible with land falling hurricanes. a stalling one just means duration of the threat lasts longer.

remember when people like Ian and Randy posted a lot?

congrats all, we made it another year. i hope we have all rebuilt, bigger, and smarter. remember we were all chasing irene when it happened.

Hi southerners! As a friendly reminder, please be sure to stop into the Snow Totals thread and post your totals for the season! I have begun working on our end of year snow map, don't want to forget anyone! Thank you! Happy

def pretty bad. i'll admit it.

it was one of those events where most of the severe weather was in the Lakes/Ohio Subforum and not Central http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/18738-may-21-22-midwest-great-lakes-severe-threat/page-14 that page is when Joplin becomes part of the discussion

I saw, thanks!

hello southern friends! been scrolling through your thread here to see if anyone had posted snow totals, alas no one has. Could you post what you have on the season? its great to have some active posters from areas down south (and in DE!) so would be great to get snow totals from you guys. thanks!!!

Id put this past storm above the Feb 2010 storms... rest stays as is. For me.

We, I mean.. It may be booked by then. Should get your reservations in now while there is plenty of rooms. Couple nice corner rooms with south and west facing views, perfect for watching the snow move in, Egyptian 400 thread count sheets, king size bed, spa tub that can fit four. May only cost you your first child, but we...I mean, the owners of the place may offer you a deal

I feel bad for me too [emoji4]

I'm happy DC got a jackpot run and all, but that **** needs to come north. Sorry my southern friends

That'd be fantastic. Not getting too excited, if the storm is still there Wednesday...then I'll get excited.