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mappy

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Everything posted by mappy

  1. mappy
    colleges need to stop tweeting weather advisories, wtf is this? is UMBC even under a warning right now?
  2. mappy
    I called my mom to give her the heads up of what was coming (she is in Pasadena), she didn't have TV on or anything but knew if i was calling she needed to get right
  3. mappy
    yeah that looks like nice rotation
  4. mappy
    heres hoping my area can rebound for round 2.
  5. mappy
    yeah, gusty showers with a couple rumbles of thunder here. pretty ho-hum garden variety stuff. like @high risk said, the northern areas just never got warm enough before the line came through.
  6. mappy
    rotation is really broad down nears poolesville
  7. mappy
    Thunder in hunt valley
  8. mappy
    about what i was expecting.
  9. mappy
    so true.
  10. mappy
    short terms models have been advertising that all day. i think most will see better stuff when the front moves through later. unless this line picks up some steam
  11. mappy
    60% chance with an enhanced risk. oh boy.
  12. mappy
    i hadn't checked 12z NAM yet. I see what you mean though. It has some nice cells pre-front around 18-19z, followed by the front later on 00-01z or so. i just know that we tend to need a lot of things to work out well here, and even one thing failing sends everything crashing downward. im sure somewhere there will be thunder and lightning. i'm just not sure how "enhanced risk" worthy it will be, ya know?
  13. mappy
    ^^ said it yesterday. without the lift, we won't get anything discrete out ahead of the front. LWX agrees.
  14. mappy
    pretty typical. like high risk said, i think we still see some storms, but whether they are as severe as some of us would like to be, remains to be seen.
  15. mappy
    SPCs 13z outlook wording for those who don't know where to read it, or are too lazy i remain neutral for now. all the ingredients are there for discrete cells to develop.
  16. mappy
    Agreed. I think the 5% tornado threat per SPC is generous for us. If any one wants to see a good storm, they have to hope things go discrete before the main line comes through. otherwise, you'll get embedded cells in the line that won't be nearly as exciting. ... if you're a weenie like me who wants a really good storm
  17. mappy
    updraft swaths, from 3K NAM La Plata?
  18. mappy
    SPC overnight outlook seems uncertain for today. lots of the factors in play, which seems par for the course for us around here. If we can get out of the clouds and warm quickly today, it will bode well for us later.
  19. mappy
    drive an hour or so north and you'll find it.
  20. mappy
    Sure can! Ill be home
  21. mappy
    includes Baltimore and Frederick now
  22. mappy
    thank you!
  23. mappy
    can you provide me with a good link for it? i haven't looked around to see if the paid sites have them or not. appreciate your insight, as always!
  24. mappy
    you know those are all things we need every time and tend to fail on lol if i was in Scranton, id feel pretty good about seeing some severe tomorrow. ahh, i hadn't looked at either one of those. i've always considered them weenie models (i honestly don't know enough about them) I'd be happy with thunder, I know our chances down here aren't nearly as good as those in PA/NY. But still has a chance to be a fun event to watch unfold, even if we don't get the goods.
  25. mappy
    it can work out if timing is right. otherwise if storms pop up they tend to become a blob of messiness vs discrete cells
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