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mappy

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Everything posted by mappy

  1. mappy
    yeah does seem warmer for you and others south.
  2. mappy
    18z HRRR covers the entire event. Quite a bit of QPF with it. I didn't think it was gonna be that much?
  3. mappy
    Yeah turning it into obs is fine @ravensrule can you edit the title to include Obs?
  4. mappy
    Yeah. Sorry. 70s next week with maybe storms on Valentines Day
  5. mappy
    HRRR is has a lot more QPF than prior runs
  6. mappy
    17z HRRR a bit more widespread with precip after 8-9pm. DC gets a good band of frozen before midnight
  7. mappy
    Maybe some light sleet for HoCo 10pmish per Euro. More widespread after midnight
  8. mappy
    Euro not as icy as GFS
  9. mappy
    Fair. But you made the broad statement it wasn’t anything to worry about. Maybe for you.
  10. mappy
    There’s nothing really until much later
  11. mappy
    Hmm. 15z hrr has .2” qpf up here by 4am with more to come. I wouldn’t classify that as nothing to worry about
  12. mappy
    When are you supposed to be traveling? Precip is out of the area by noon. Temps won’t get above freezing until around then too
  13. mappy
    It’s def a worse case scenario for ice
  14. mappy
    I work from home, but am expecting a delay with school. Not sure I believe the GFS output, it’s FRAM assumes all liquid will accrete onto surfaces. We know that heavier precip will run off before it can freeze and sleet piles up like snow instead of sticking to trees. Either way, looks like a messy morning.
  15. mappy
  16. mappy
    For what it’s worth, GFS is pretty icy for areas north of 70
  17. mappy
    Ha! You wub me
  18. mappy
    This would have been funnier had you wrote knew instead
  19. mappy
    All good! Each of those output options have little question marks next to it that explain what they represent
  20. mappy
    Yep but it’s not worth getting into weatherside to avoid falling down a political rabbit hole
  21. mappy
    It doesn’t include sleet. Freezing rain only. The FRAM includes sleet, as well as all ice accretion. You should look at FRAM instead of the freezing rain
  22. mappy
    No. Just liquid in the form of freezing rain. It doesn’t necessarily represent accretion on surfaces.
  23. mappy
    Ohhh. Shoot, sorry. I didn’t realize that was pay only
  24. mappy
    You know there is a local view that shows the DMV area much better?
  25. mappy
    Nope. Been virga all morning
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