mappy

south winds! I'm okay with it, boo ice

I see that, too. 12z has 37 at 1pm, its 43

Euro about the same as overnight, a tenth for the northern tier

Nope. Also, from LWX 1030am discussion A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for counties bordering PA (with the exception of Cecil, southern Baltimore, and southern Harford), as well as the eastern WV Panhandle. Locations within the Winter Weather Advisory will see a glaze to a tenth of an inch of freezing rain in most spots, with a few isolated higher totals possible in Garrett County and north- central MD. For the time being, plain rain is expected elsewhere. We`ll continue to evaluate new model guidance and trends throughout the day, and adjust headlines accordingly. Some sleet may also mix in within the Winter Weather Advisory zone. It can`t be ruled out, that portions of the DC metro could encounter a brief mix in of snow and sleet into the rain toward the end of the precipitation. Precipitation will wind down from west to east during the afternoon.

Its King now right?

12Z GFS holding firm on the cold push and ice amounts for the northern tier.

With all due respect, I am not sticking a fork in it. But you do you.

We were never going to get a half inch of ice. Despite GFS and NAM throwing out stupid amounts of it. I've been a fan of the Euro the whole time, but you know everyone thinks the Euro sucks, so... I don't want ice, and I hope it doesn't happen.

Just responding in kind.

Impossible around here.

Anyway, 3K NAM backed off the cold push, maybe light icing at the end. Exciting for those who don't want ice!

youre free to leave

sounds good

Hope it works out for you.

GFS still "thinks" it could be a mess tomorrow for some. Guess we shall see. Enjoy your rain!

dont think anyone thought it would be a major ice storm.

12z Long Range HRRR wants nothing to do with the ice threat, cold air push isn't as severe as all other models. Only gets to 34 here before precip moves out.

700-720 depending on where in my yard you're at, yes I've actually surveyed it

BC = Baltimore County I hope this fizzles and becomes a zero event. But, all models are showing that temp drop by 7am tomorrow up this way.

The current rain is certainly helpful!

WWA for those of us along the PA line URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 339 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 MDZ004>006-507-040045- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0012.220204T1000Z-220204T2100Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 339 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Frederick MD, Carroll, Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will likely impact the Friday commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

Yes, I don't want it, so if it trends less, that'd be great. But its not a zero event here, yet No one cares about us up here lol I did a quick glance at stuff. Long range HRRR still shows 0, but lol 12K NAM is a quarter inch from me, along the MD/PA line out to Hagerstown 3K NAM isn't as high, but about .20 for you and I GFS is above a quarter inch for all of the northern tier, Bel Air west to Hagerstown Euro with the lowest amounts, about a tenth along the MD/PA line

Is it? Models still giving me up to a quarter inch up here. Guess when it doesn't impact half the forum, its a zero event.

And it’s still stupid up here. I’m below freezing by 7am and everything falling after that will freeze.

No. But if I have learned anything from posting with Phin for a decade, is that we don’t get big bad ice storms here. so it’s the nam being the nam. (I hope)