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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Nam keeps giving us an inch+ for Saturday. Gfs and other models much drier/south and east
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Jan 08 we didnt have cold air in place and we were relying on precip on the back side. Many of the models didn't have snow. I think the gfs and nam were on their own
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I believe the secondary low formed too close to the coast and winds switched to the east southeast and before you know it we went from 28 and snow to 40 and rain I know @SnowGoose69 has a better explanation
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Secondary line forming
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Looks rather unimpressive unless it's in that eastern PA radar dead zone
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Chipmunks are out in full force today
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Here you go
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Even JB threw in the towel
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Maybe they'll start to catch on and stop assuming every winter has to be a snowy one. The year they finally go below we'll get blasted
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I've been fortunate to live in other places during some of their best winters and also live here during our best winters as well. Experienced the epic 93-94 winter in state college including a 3 foot snowpack in early March. Lived outside Chicago for one winter but it happened to be during the Jan 99 blizzard. Unfortunately I spent most of the 96 blizzard on a bus headed back to school so I did miss experiencing the bulk of that one. And I'm old enough to remember the blizzard of 83 as my first real memory of a snowstorm
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Here we go again lol
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Can't wait. Snowless cold is useless. Basically all of next week looks mild
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Maybe people will learn something but I'm guessing most won't. Either way we had 2 good events during a hostile pattern so we should never cancel an event that doesn't look great or assume a pattern will flip to favorable and even if it does that it will automatically produce. And my snowhole has officially filled in
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Why do you think they overmeasured?
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And a fairly dry month as well. If you saw <2" of liquid and +5 you wouldn't expect much snow yet here we are -
Down to 19
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep like forky said the moisture didn't overperform it was the ratios within that band -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
So basically the models that had the narrow band did fine then. We were mostly going off 10 or possibly 15:1. Nobody expected 20 or 30:1 which ultimately made the difference between 6 and 12" -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's melting like a 50 degree day in april