Stormlover74

Everything will need to line up perfectly

Even so it's not a terrible track just no cold air near the coast Edit nevermind it's a cutter with a late transfer But its 9 days out

Too warm

We skipped the first 10 other than winter cancel

If it's not going to snow I'd rather it be 60

It's not really cold til the 5th. Looks average and dry prior to that

Weenies are the perfect stocking stuffer

Yeah I feel like despite the warmup we may not see the sun until Friday after a bit tomorrow afternoon

A winter weather advisory has been issued for Western Passaic County NJ and Orange County NY, effective until 9AM EST Sunday, December 24th for light sleet and freezing rain. If traveling in these areas, watch out for icy roads and walkways, especially bridges and overpasses. Slow down and allow for extra space between vehicles. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=WSW

Well yeah Wish we had maps in the archived threads

He's kinda right. There's no analog and it was 50 miles from being a miss for nyc west. Also as I recall the euro at that point crushed the whole 95 corridor which ended up being wrong for Philly and DC

During months like Dec 2000 which were well below average

It was mostly mid 20s to low 30s due to cloud cover. LI had more radiational cooling

Yes luck was on our side that winter

I don't really remember what the pattern was like in December 1990 except it was a mild month and got cold just before Christmas. The morning of the 27th 1 to 3" was still being forecast for that night and they bumped it up to 3 to 6 that afternoon and of course we ended up with 6 to 8 with a little sleet on top and then the warmup began the next day. It was a very nice event for the Ohio valley

13 years ago I posted on Facebook that our post Christmas storm was going out to sea. Little did we know what would happen just 24 hours later

I was excited for last March. I'll get excited when something shows up on the models and is still there 5 days later

Other forums (which shall remain nameless) are overrun with weenies.

Sorry but this does not sound overly enthusiastic until at least mid to late January Larry Cosgrove: Merry Christmas. Now if we could just make the weather seem more in season! Contrary to media opinion, there is cold air out there, plenty of it. Not the harsh sub-zero stuff of legend, mind you. But enough to remind you of the calendar date, that it really is winter. Many in Canada and the USA will feel more chill through the next two weeks as storms break down the existing pattern. Snow will increase over the Intermountain Region, as well as around the Great Lakes and Appalachia. And around New Year's Day, some of the "white gold" may find its way into the northern Interstate 95 corridor. Ridging over western and northern Canada may help with cold air drainage into the lower 48 states. The 500MB forecasts show an immense disturbance and trough progressing out of the West on January 6. I suspect that this is the "grand finale" for this evolving pattern. If the ECMWF/GGEM scenario holds, many of you in the snowless Great Plains and Midwest, and possibly the Northeast, will get a genuine winter storm. However, as the high-latitude ridge complex collapses as we enter the second week of the new year, a strong warm-up will likely ensue across the nation from west to east. Keep in mind that with a stratospheric warming episode entering the Arctic Regions, and the breakdown of El Nino revving up, the second half of January and much of February could mean a "winter revival in much of the continent. It's not over 'til it's over...

I don't think we're down. I think most are cautiously optimistic. Way too soon to get excited though

Gfs is coldish about 8 days out. Nothing frigid but cold enough at least

Pretty sure that is Joe

Smart forecast

Yeah I remember driving west and hitting snow in PA and OH in early December that year