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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nam would be sniffing out warm layers as we wait to flip to sleet- 3,610 replies
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- 3
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like a sleetfest for portions of the nyc metro. Just add it to the pile- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If this was a week after the boxing day blizzard I think we'd be doing the same thing lol- 3,610 replies
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- 3
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- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And who knows what the euro will do in an hour- 3,610 replies
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- 1
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We certainly got lucky with that one- 3,610 replies
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- 1
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- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Seems like we have 5 scenarios. Suppressed nothing, suppressed few inches. All rain. Few inches then flip to rain. Big hit.- 3,610 replies
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- 3
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Crushes everyone 50 miles west of the cities- 3,610 replies
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- 1
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- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I disagree. Gfs is only model super suppressed and it's only been 1 run after 6 straight good runs. Warm rainy scenario still on table. Thursday we'll have a better idea and Saturday we might know for sure- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gfs is snowy mostly south of the M/D line- 3,610 replies
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- 1
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I feel like if suppression and inland runner are on the table then the in between all snow scenario must be as well. Even if only a 1 in 5 chance- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Ukie is in the warm/cmc camp- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Generally yes. Once the models settle on a rainy solution inside 5 days they don't seem to budge. But suppression is a risk too and could very well end up a southern mid Atlantic special- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
6 days out is an eternity.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'd rather see this now and have it come back north since it usually trends that way- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'll take it for now- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That was widespread 24 to 30" and a very slow mover- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Cmc stays all frozen west of the city and 95 but we need that low 50 miles east not over DE- 3,610 replies
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Too soon to say. That's the very end of the euro run
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We probably want weaker storms
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Good to see the euro trend colder at least- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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I thought today was going to be sunny? Nope 42 and overcast again
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We just need something to break the streak.
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But once the models settle on a rainstorm they usually don't budge. Luckily we haven't gotten to that point yet aside from the euro
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Every threat last year did the same thing. The cmc and gfs gave us about 10 feet of virtual snow