My understanding was the severe weather or lack thereof down south threw everything out of whack regarding placement of the low but I'm sure someone can explain it better
For nyc the models were fine once they reversed their northern trend on Sunday. In fact the eps and gfs were spot on 5 days ago at least with the axis of snow if not the amounts
Yep and I don't blame them for being skeptical and waiting as long as possible to make changes. You don't just drop forecasts for 8-12 or ramp up amounts on the southern edge which now seem like the models were overdoing
Feb 2006
Didn't want to clog up the storm thread or confuse people thinking this was a current radar
https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2006/12-Feb-06.html