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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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yeah april was minor. May have been more significant to the south with of course the major mid month warmth that wasn't expected. I believe my forecast was 72 and we hit 85
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That month had snow (clipper that stalled and gave us 3")
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
long range hrrr but its not very enthused for our area. Generally an inch or less at 10:1. It's also done by this point -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
yeah central park probably does worse than central nj and LI and even NW NJ -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Models are showing some enhancement off the ocean for coastal locations -
Can always squeeze out a nighttime event in between periods of warmth
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
They could actually have a higher ratio inside of the heavier banding south of 195 -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some have mentioned it but to be safe go with 10:1 -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I wouldn't necessarily expect that -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hopefully models at least hold if not continue bumping north -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We'll see. Still bouncing around -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nam back south -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gfs ens stronger and north as well -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gfs ticked north. -
thread created for Saturday
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Upton has less than an inch for me which is reasonable 2.5 days out
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Wow very nice
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Mid March surprise
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The funny thing is our two biggest storms - 1/6 and yesterday, both occurred before the pattern was supposed to become more favorable
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Ok who is this and what did you do with snowman19?
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Ukie came a hair north but still nothing north of Monmouth
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This isn't nearly the same type of setup and won't be as prone to major shifts either way
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Gfs very weak for us
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Yeah I'm just saying we risk getting barely a coating if nam is right. I'm not expecting the 3 to 5 like southern areas may see