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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Stormlover74
    We wouldn't have power for 2 weeks
  2. Stormlover74
    Somehow ewr has missed out on every heavy rainfall event this month. Only 2.5"
  3. Stormlover74
    Storms seem to be holding together although below severe limits. Let's see if they make it to the coast
  4. Stormlover74
    First weekend of June looking sunny with comfortable temperatures and low humidity. Our first dry weekend since February?
  5. Stormlover74
    Sun's back out now
  6. Stormlover74
    One lone warned cell in western MD
  7. Stormlover74
    Just a quick downpour from that cell. No thunder
  8. Stormlover74
    This should taper off within the hour. Nothing to the sw of philly at the moment that would impact us later but still time for néw activity to fire
  9. Stormlover74
    Yeah there's no secondary line now. It goes north of the area. We'll see
  10. Stormlover74
    Biggest storms look to be Se and nw of us Wonder if we get some sun between 4 and 6
  11. Stormlover74
    Looks to be setting up that way but there are also some storms along the coast
  12. Stormlover74
    This first batch just looks like garden variety stuff with some downpours. Guess we'll see if the 2nd round contains severe cells
  13. Stormlover74
    Mesoscale Discussion 1013 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1053 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...northern VA into parts of MD...DE...central/western PA...NJ...and NY Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...One or more watches will likely be needed in the next 1-2 hours. Damaging gusts, large hail and a couple of tornadoes are possible with bands of thunderstorms through early evening. DISCUSSION...Modest destabilization is occurring from south to north ahead of an eastward-advancing front at midday. Stronger instability will generally remain across the PA/NJ vicinity southward, where dewpoints are in the upper 60s F, and decrease with northward extent into central NY. Nevertheless, favorable vertical shear supporting organized bands of convection is already in place across the region. A mixed mode of supercells and bows is expected as convection increases in coverage after 18z. While deep-layer flow will largely remain unidirectional, some curvature of low-level hodographs and backed low-level winds is evident in a corridor from eastern VA into eastern PA/western NJ. A couple of tornadoes could occur in this area. Otherwise, damaging gusts and hail will be the primary hazard through this afternoon/early evening. One or more watches will likely be needed in the next couple of hours as stronger destabilization occurs and stronger large-scale ascent overspreads the region.
  14. Stormlover74
    Radar's lighting up to the southwest
  15. Stormlover74
    Pretty much area wide but I'm sure a few places will miss out
  16. Stormlover74
    Let's see how accurate this is
  17. Stormlover74
    Hrrr has one round beginning after 2, then a 2nd round after 7
  18. Stormlover74
    Tornado emergency in KY
  19. Stormlover74
    Big storms over delaware basically stationary
  20. Stormlover74
    Wow quite a shift
  21. Stormlover74
    Severe looks like a long shot tomorrow
  22. Stormlover74
    Now the nam is largely dry especially around the city and east 3knam more active
  23. Stormlover74
    Hrrr tomorrow has some morning storms then a break then scattered stuff in the afternoon with a strong line early evening
  24. Stormlover74
    Gfs had a quarter of an inch last night into this morning. It's always overdone
  25. Stormlover74
    Models are still inconsistent with timing tomorrow. Nam is morning and afternoon. Euro is mid afternoon and night. Rgem seems to match euro
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