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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Stormlover74
    The nam has the arrival time between 5 and 7pm west to east
  2. Stormlover74
    Nam is further north with the primary and changes over to rain fairly quickly at the city and coast
  3. Stormlover74
    Ok let's set the over/under at 2 feet between 2-1 & 2-28
  4. Stormlover74
  5. Stormlover74
    The low ends up near Staten Island
  6. Stormlover74
    The nam is assuming everything that falls as snow or sleet is a 10:1 ratio. Kuchera is much lower due to the fact most will fall as sleet
  7. Stormlover74
    Could easily go the other way and be mostly a rain event for the coast
  8. Stormlover74
    Lol no way, maybe 2" some sleet and then rain. I think it's unavoidable at this point
  9. Stormlover74
    I'm now expecting more snow tonight imby than Saturday night Sunday
  10. Stormlover74
    The city doesn't get much of anything after 1pm. Keep in mind this is showing what falls in the prior 6 hours
  11. Stormlover74
    This map is much more realistic
  12. Stormlover74
    wow a foot of sleet
  13. Stormlover74
    Well the snow totals are high because the models are assuming anything frozen is a 10:1 ratio. Since 70% looks like sleet or freezing rain accumulations would be nowhere near what the snowmaps show
  14. Stormlover74
    Not quite Pittsburgh but northern WV
  15. Stormlover74
    50-100 miles further south is probably all it would take to keep us mostly snow
  16. Stormlover74
    Much of that is not going to be snow with 850s above freezing for a time
  17. Stormlover74
    Fv3 is much improved as well. Low is south of LI with a lot of ice
  18. Stormlover74
    1-1.5" still pretty high
  19. Stormlover74
    Stays all frozen for everyone just west of the city even with the low over nj
  20. Stormlover74
    Yeah mixes much earlier this run. Front end dump of snow would be a few inches at best
  21. Stormlover74
    I think by 72 hours out mixing was starting to show up because of the 850 low being in ohio. Even then we got far less snow than forecast as the change to sleet was fairly quickly
  22. Stormlover74
    Pretty big drop from 12z actually
  23. Stormlover74
    Nice civil war battle going on the M/D line between snow and fr. rain
  24. Stormlover74
    Yeah would be a decent front end thump before warming occurs
  25. Stormlover74
    Have you seen the 850 temps?
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