Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Because it snowed in november when it wasnt supposed to so of course this was going to be a repeat of that.
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March 2005 occurred while we were going from rain to snow so there was a good amount of slush that immediately froze. I think it continued snowing for a while into the evening as well. If it rains but doesn't warm up I think we'll have a lot melted snow and sleet that could refreeze quickly
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Ends up in the identical location but slightly colder
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By 6z it's near Annapolis
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Gfs is south through 0z sunday, not really colder though
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More front end snow this run
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The nam has the arrival time between 5 and 7pm west to east
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Nam is further north with the primary and changes over to rain fairly quickly at the city and coast
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Ok let's set the over/under at 2 feet between 2-1 & 2-28
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The low ends up near Staten Island
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The nam is assuming everything that falls as snow or sleet is a 10:1 ratio. Kuchera is much lower due to the fact most will fall as sleet
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Could easily go the other way and be mostly a rain event for the coast
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Lol no way, maybe 2" some sleet and then rain. I think it's unavoidable at this point
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I'm now expecting more snow tonight imby than Saturday night Sunday
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The city doesn't get much of anything after 1pm. Keep in mind this is showing what falls in the prior 6 hours
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This map is much more realistic
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wow a foot of sleet
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Well the snow totals are high because the models are assuming anything frozen is a 10:1 ratio. Since 70% looks like sleet or freezing rain accumulations would be nowhere near what the snowmaps show
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Not quite Pittsburgh but northern WV
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50-100 miles further south is probably all it would take to keep us mostly snow
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Much of that is not going to be snow with 850s above freezing for a time
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Fv3 is much improved as well. Low is south of LI with a lot of ice
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1-1.5" still pretty high
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Stays all frozen for everyone just west of the city even with the low over nj
