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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. The nam seems to be frozen through about 4 or 5:00 at least but its rain just south of us, so it'll be close
  2. Yeah but Wednesday of next week looks like the better chance Also have to watch Saturday, could be rain, snow or a miss. Models are all over the place
  3. If we get enough hours of heavy sleet we might make 2
  4. Snow is moderate now, maybe this can continue another hour or so before pinging
  5. Global models have become fairly useless in this borderline events. They are great for track and intensity and when there's plenty of cold air in place they can do well in snowstorms but when 1 degree C is all the difference in the world they can really struggle
  6. so instead of 3" you'll get 2"? oh my the horror!
  7. The NAM has the mix line really on the move by 11 and everybody just about is sleeting by noon, that lasts for several hours before a bit of a lull in the action and then the heavy rain arrives late tonight
  8. We needed snow to arrive after midnight, now it's barely snowing by 7am in central nj. We'll change to sleet by 9 but stay frozen most of the day
  9. It's also a quicker change to sleet on Tuesday. Looks like about 3 hours of snow
  10. Update from Upton. Way too high but I'd gladly take it
  11. Therefore we should ignore all Upton snow maps?
  12. Nam shifted south with wave 1. Starting to think it's a dusting to 1" kind of event
  13. I don't even remember the last time I had several hours of snow
  14. Why? 850s are warm and if surface stays cold that's a recipe for sleet
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