Stormlover74

Most of the models were done by 10 here but will probably be sooner than that

Winds are whipping pretty good

Lesser? The nam is 2-3" for much of the area

Wind may be stronger behind the storm especially on Thursday

Looks like that's during the worst of it

Some mid 40s already where winds have gone calm

Next weekend looks like a repeat of this one

Pretty much already hit our forecast high of 59 for the day. Clouds will need to roll in quick or its mid 60s for sure It's gone cloudy now

Mid 70s now for Monday. Probably 82 at ewr

Low 70s now

Yeah will be interesting to see if tomorrow's upper 50s ends up too low as well

Looks like after tomorrow we're back to a bit above normal but should get some clear chilly nights

Yeah the nam is much wetter for ewr than smq

35-10 instead of 42

Interesting watching the 2 areas of precip intersect over central nj

The heaviest could easily end up 100 miles in either direction and will probably bounce all over the place between now and thursday

I feel like we can't really pinpoint anything until inside 24 hours since the low is just meandering off the coast

Nobody ever wins

That's what I saw this weekend in western PA. However at higher elevations in central PA there was a decent amount of color already

Its a crapshoot not a forecast.

We need to stop trying

Welcome to weather models

Of course by then our average highs are down to the upper 60s so unless we see highs in the 50s it really won't be significantly below average

I wonder if it will be like 2007 when we peaked in mid November. Though that year the heat remained well into October “With seasons like this, you usually have an extended period of color,” said Frank Lombardo, a meteorologist and chief executive officer of the WeatherWorks forecasting company, based in Warren County. “The trees that are susceptible to drier weather will start turning leaves early. The trees that are healthy and aren’t stressed will start to turn their leaves later, so you’ll get an extended season.” A big factor contributing to colorful fall foliage seasons in New Jersey is adequate rain, which helps keep the root system of trees strong, Lombardo noted. “We had a very wet spring," he said. "So a lot of trees are healthy, with a lot of leaves hanging on.” Despite some trees that are shedding their leaves a little early, Tom Sheppard also is confident New Jersey will have a colorful autumn. “I think we’ll have a nice fall foliage season,” said Sheppard, chief park naturalist for the Hunterdon County Division of Parks and Recreation. “Will we have the best one? I wouldn’t say that, but I think we’ll have a solid one. I think all the rain we had early in the year has been enough to keep the trees in good condition.”