Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Yeah seems like a safe bet. 1"+ seems unlikely this far south
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There's also just a general lack of precip on the nam. Though at this point it probably represents the floor for this event .25 to .5". Rgem would be much better
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nam looks like crap
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NY, NJ brace for winter storm as Mother Nature threatens holiday travel with brutal weather https://nypost.com/2024/11/17/us-news/ny-nj-brace-for-wintry-storm-as-mother-nature-threatens-holiday-travel-with-brutal-weather/
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Icon is ugly south of 78. Hopefully it's wrong
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Also hammers the Catskills with snow
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Gfs remains the driest but would still be .5+ for most with more north and east
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Euro very wet now and keeps going into Friday
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I think it's more the risk of the heaviest going north and west of us and we end up with scattered showers like the gfs is showing
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Cmc and Ukie too but they've been overdone lately
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And that was following the feb 89 miss. At least we had the Thanksgiving storm
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Be lucky to get a quarter inch now
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Even more. Think we were under a warning. Temp shot up from 28 to 40
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With almost no snow that December after heartbreaking misses
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They fall for it everytime
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Up until today the models were mostly under .5" so yeah we should be skeptical of more until we see some consistency
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All the models have it. Just a matter of if the heaviest goes to our north and west like the gfs has been showing
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Most of the area in severe drought now
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08-09 had exactly 6" in December and made it to 27.6 so basically average
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gfs is cold(ish) and dry
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Yeah and after this brief cooldown it's right back to +5 to +10 by the weekend
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There were back to back months <1" in late 80 early 81 and a dry spring in 88 but both were followed by wet months so drought wasn't prolonged
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Yeah we really could've used that storm later this week. 24 hours of rain with 1 to 2"
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