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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Stormlover74
    That's why its never a sure thing 4 or 5 days out no matter how much model agreement there is
  2. Stormlover74
    Yeah the low didn't move much but the heaviest snow definitely moved north
  3. Stormlover74
    Probably holds serve. Hopefully doesn't get any further north
  4. Stormlover74
    It hasn't changed all that much
  5. Stormlover74
    Either it has a more NE component or it takes the low to Trenton
  6. Stormlover74
    I think if anything it's outside its useful range
  7. Stormlover74
    Lol
  8. Stormlover74
    Meanwhile low 60s on tap for today
  9. Stormlover74
    Hopefully it pulls east and stalls
  10. Stormlover74
    Its not alone though. Can't be ignored since it matches the euro well Anyway let's see if the gfs/cmc hold serve
  11. Stormlover74
    I was thinking March 2017 where we saw snow to heavy sleet and back to snow just west of the city.
  12. Stormlover74
    Doubt it. Could mix or change for a time but enough cold air around for at least a decent snow event
  13. Stormlover74
    NAM at 84 hrs is a hugger with warm air aloft Hopefully getting ready to pull east shortly thereafter
  14. Stormlover74
    Hopefully it heads east soon after this frame
  15. Stormlover74
    At least that one turned ese around VA Beach.
  16. Stormlover74
    Still a good hit and there's likely more after this. I'll gladly take 6 to 10
  17. Stormlover74
    OT but I was 8 for the blizzard of 83 and have been obsessed with snow ever since
  18. Stormlover74
    Yeah quite a bit colder
  19. Stormlover74
  20. Stormlover74
    The train station is the best part of secaucus
  21. Stormlover74
    Its interesting that the high didn't move or weaken. Maybe the confluence was weaker this run?
  22. Stormlover74
    Its warm
  23. Stormlover74
    Upton all in with 90% chance of snow. They do mention the high could be modeled too strong though it actually got stronger this run so as this system approaches, expect snow to develop Wed afternoon, and then become moderate to heavy at times Wed night as the low wraps up just off the Mid Atlantic coast. Forecast mentions almost all snow at this point with a good chance of significant accumulation, with the caveat that the high to the NE may be modeled too strong, and if the high does retreat more quickly that could allow for a more N/W low track as well as potential for mixed precip for the NYC metro area and Long Island as marine air and possible warmer air aloft get involved.
  24. Stormlover74
    Its not the final solution. Could go back to snowier or trend wetter
  25. Stormlover74
    Usually we're at the point the models lose the storm altogether only to bring it back Verbatim its 33 and heavy snow at the peak near and west of the city
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