Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Been the rule the past few winters. Even within 48 hours we can't get model consensus
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Meanwhile the rgem is much slower. Doesn't even get in until late saturday afternoon
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Long range nam is a nice hit
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There's basically 3 camps. Cmc/icon/nam vs gfs/ukie and the euro is kind of alone showing a scraper
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Icon fwiw
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Euro's going to be a miss
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Bring ponchos
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I've passed that place many times but never stopped
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I'm wondering if it's still raining at that point. Low pressure is still over southern MD Monday morning
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Yeah like the euro it keeps going thru Wednesday
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Yeah still has an area of 6+ somewhere in the delmarva
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Gfs coming back west
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Gfs all alone south and east of the other models? What could go wrong
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Gfs still wet for the weekend but did shift east
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Getting a downpour now. Over 1.5" for the event
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Euro also coming in east. So it's europe vs north America again
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It's not that far off but precip is mostly offshore
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Ukie is a miss to the east
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Usually these storms move up in time but we'll see. Right now it arrives around noon Saturday heaviest at night
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Detroit, Buffalo same difference
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Gfs and cmc both with 1.5 to 3"+ of rain this weekend
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It's essentially going to end up average this week. Today had a warm overnight low to counter the cool high
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Last late September and early October were quite cool. Like several days -10. Not saying we need that for good colors if we get average temps and rainfall heading into October we should be fine
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What below average temps?
