Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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The only consistent model to a degree has been the rgem. And I've noticed that model doesn't cave often
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Noone will be shocked by that
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They did. Let's see what 12z shows. If they back off we know the nam is definitely wrong
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Metro and south. North of 78 and LI I think could still be in the game
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Not sure how I posted that in here lol
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So at 12z the nam is all alone so far
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I dont even look at the icon but the rgem is concerning
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Miller A/hybrid. It brought the heavy snow further north and the other models followed. This setup is much more complicated so something has to give one way or the other
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Or 36 with snow showers and no stickage...easy forecast right
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Like a 5 degree difference since the ccb never gets going. My guess is the nam is out to lunch but we'll know in a few hours if it has any support
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Way west of NYC but that was due to subsidence west of the death band
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And the same models not biting
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Less than 48 hours from showtime would be nice to have some sort of consensus
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Get the rgem and gfs on board and we're good...lol yeah right
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And it's still not done. Even at 7:1 that's nearly a foot in the city
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Surface nearly gets down to freezing by 7am. That ccb really means business
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Ukie is like 33 at the surface 12z Tuesday. That degree or two is all the difference
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Well to be honest they're consistent in the areas that are going to get slammed. As always seems to be the case we're on the fringe so it's nothing up to a foot
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No consistency from any of them...complicated setup blah blah blah
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Problem is one model jumps on board 3 more jump off. If the ukie and euro show something similar I might say gfs is out to lunch
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Apparently the models would have to be really awful with dynamic cooling and be off by like 5 degrees
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Debbie downer Just kidding you're likely right
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Weast
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Not to get too off track but here's a link to the surprise snow of 3/22/98 https://www.nytimes.com/1998/03/23/nyregion/on-a-spring-day-winter-shows-up-with-snow.html After just one day on the job, spring took a break yesterday and surprised New Yorkers who awoke to a storm that dropped five inches of snow -- the most in the city in more than two years. Only one to three inches had been predicted for New York City yesterday, and many people said they had not heard the forecast.
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Lol
