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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Yeah I'm not seeing why they went with a watch for our area
  2. Watch for the metro til 8. Further north and west til 11
  3. Watch issued for North of the city
  4. Yeah if anything it looks like a reinforcing shot Tuesday night and Wednesday on the gfs maybe starting to warm up by the 5th
  5. Yeah Upton way too bullish
  6. Upton 70%, Mt holly 30%
  7. In a tux? I can't even imagine
  8. Yeah I edited my post. 84 dewpoint at 7pm
  9. It was 129 at one point briefly at ewr. 99 with an 84 dewpoint
  10. Ok. They almost always go heat advisory though
  11. I always thought 105 meant heat advisory. And we never get excessive heat warnings so they must've changed the criteria URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Upton NY Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- 204 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2023 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 9 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously hot conditions with heat index values up to 105 expected. * WHERE...Eastern Passaic, Hudson, Bergen, Essex, and Union counties in northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities.
  12. Excessive heat watch. First one of those in a while
  13. We got them about 7 minutes before the storm hit
  14. Wow now this is a storm
  15. Finally a warning with 10 minute lead time
  16. No they just forget about union county until the storm has passed
  17. Not even a special weather statement
  18. Nothing from Upton yet
  19. Yeah the warning should be extended further east momentarily Edit extended for parts of Middlesex Morris and all of somerset
  20. If it doesn't weaken of course
  21. Mt holly says that storm is moving due east rather than ne so it would hit us
  22. Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later
  23. Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Tue Jul 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST STATES...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...Mid Atlantic into southern New England... A remnant MCV is currently over eastern PA. This feature is embedded within a larger-scale shortwave trough and associated 40 knot mid-level jet moving into the northeast states. Forcing ahead of these features is leading to scattered thunderstorm development. Strong heating across the region, coupled with dewpoints in the 70s will lead to moderate CAPE values over 2000 J/kg. Sufficient winds aloft and steep low-level lapse rates will promote locally damaging wind gusts in the stronger cells through early evening. Storms will eventually build southward into eastern VA/MD as well.
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