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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Presidents' day Snow potential
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
The nam being the furthest north is always a red flag -
Presidents' day Snow potential
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah but closer to an inch then 2 to 4 -
Presidents' day Snow potential
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Rgem and hrrr nada. Thankfully the euro has a few inches -
Presidents' day Snow potential
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
The nam and gfs love to tease then pull out the rug -
Presidents' day Snow potential
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Rgem still very little -
I'm convinced it's not melting unless we get heavy rain fog or temps in the 50s. Even today lost very little
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Should show up on models in a day or two then
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That's why I said 20% we get something. 50% it still misses completely but its not a situation where being on the northern edge means we get snow
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My main concern is it will be in the 40s this weekend and no cold air around. The storm will have to bomb out to have any shot at getting wet snow. Its pretty obviously an interior threat right now with maybe a 20% chance of accumulating snow at the coast
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Most of our storms this year weren't. We knew we'd get snow if we got the precip in here because we had cold air and weren't relying on a transfer. I'm not talking KUs here. Those obviously rely on everything coming together perfectly
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I hate the expression but this really is a thread the needle situation. Too far nw and we rain otherwise its a miss
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I should delete this thread and have someone start a new one
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I'd rather some rain at this point
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I don't really recall the storm but looks like I recorded 6
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But everything he says in this case makes sense
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I don't think we'll be completely shut out
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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
Stormlover74 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
He doesn’t even like the euro anymore -
Took me 5 hours to drive 10 miles home from work. It was such a heavy wet snow
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Retreating high pressure. Never good
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Except for a few wonky model runs and ensemble hugging its been obvious for a while this wouldn't be a snowy week ahead
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Dry with moderating temperatures
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43 and sunny Wednesday woo hoo
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Pixie dust falling now
