cheese007

Big D3 slight with a large sig-severe hatch covering Austin, DFW, and OKC

Yeah if that can just stay up north that would be great. I've had my fill for the season!

Sig hail hatch as well

Marginal extended northeast and a D1 slight added stretching into far southwest Dallas county

Absolutely incredible structure. If y'all haven't walked outside I highly recommend it

Is northern DFW out of the woods yet?

Dry line can't scoot on out of here quick enough...

That cell turned into a monster real quick. Glad it choked off the one that tried to go through the metro

60/60 hail probs

What timeframe would this be?

Mesoscale Discussion 0345 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0314 PM CDT Fri Apr 09 2021 Areas affected...central and eastern Oklahoma/western Arkansas/North Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 092014Z - 092115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Eventual storm development expected across this region will likely require WW issuance late this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Midday RAOB from KOKC revealed stout capping just above 850 mb, supporting persistent low cloud cover across central Oklahoma. While the low clouds persist, a slight change in character toward more cumuliform elements is occurring -- particularly over portions of western/southwestern Oklahoma. As a cold front continues to advance southeastward across this area, ahead of a mid-level vort max shifting southeastward out of the High Plains, ascent will continue to allow the cap to weaken -- resulting in eventual storm development. Intensity of the initial cells over far western Oklahoma will likely remain limited, but with 2000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE now indicated within the very steep lapse rates within the elevated mixed layer above the cap, robust storms will likely evolve. Storm intensity will be aided by a belt of stronger mid-level flow expected to spread across the region south/southeast of the upper system. Along with potential for locally damaging wind gusts, very large hail will also be possible with the strongest/rotating storms. ..Goss/Thompson.. 04/09/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 35389873 36389838 37019704 37019488 36089383 34429374 33199511 33479796 34439850 35389873

What does the sounding indicate re: capping?

Most of DFW back under the sign hail hatch

Morning cloudyness probably keeps storms at bay in DFW

Forecast for this one has been all over the place. Curious to see what actually pans out+

Meanwhile Bryan is under a tornado warning...

Looks like some potential exists through the end of the week. D3 slight for Friday witth a sig hatch for DFW, 15% contour in AL/FL/GA for D4. Oh and obviously today's enhanced risk

D3 slight out for the KS/MO/OK area shifting southeast to AR/LA/MS for D4

Man today ended up being a hell of a "sleeper" day. Shows how even ENH risks should be taken seriously!

Funnel cloud or tornado on Local24 out of Memphis

Yikes @ the cell heading into Lexington

Yeah same. My eyes got real wide when I popped open the SPC page