cheese007

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 655 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021 TXC035-217-040030- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210504T0030Z/ Bosque TX-Hill TX- 655 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL BOSQUE AND NORTHWESTERN HILL COUNTIES... At 654 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles west of Blum, or 20 miles south of Cleburne, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Blum around 720 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter now! Get to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building and avoid windows. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3204 9759 3211 9759 3218 9734 3212 9732 3204 9737 TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 250DEG 17KT 3210 9752 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...2.00IN $$ Dunn

Granbury just getting slammed

60/40 tor probs, 60/60 hail

3-4K CAPE is some nasty stuff!

Mesoscale Discussion 0498 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0314 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021 Areas affected...Northern Texas and southeast Oklahoma Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 032014Z - 032215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across north Texas and south-central Oklahoma between 5-7 PM CDT. These storms will pose a risk for large hail and a few tornadoes. A watch is likely by 21 UTC. DISCUSSION...Surface observations from north TX and southern OK reveal a surface low northeast of Abilene, TX with a stalled cold front draped to the southwest and a dryline extending to the south. To the northeast of this low, a stationary front is noted across southern to northeast OK. Recent GOES visible imagery shows a shallow, but growing, cumulus field west of the DFW metro into southeast OK east of the stationary boundary. A 19 UTC FWD sounding shows considerable MLCIN remains in place, and should keep convection at bay in the near term. However, continued diurnal heating and increasing ascent over the region (due to the approach of an upper-level wave from the west) will help erode lingering inhibition by the 5-7 PM CDT time frame. Deep-layer shear is forecast to increase as stronger flow associated with the synoptic trough moves over the region, which will support initially discrete cells along the dryline and stationary boundary. Steep mid-level lapse rates noted in the 19 UTC FWD sounding and dewpoints increasing into the upper 60s/low 70s will support MLCAPE values near 3000-4000 J/kg. Consequently, severe hail appears likely and a few instances of large (2+") hail are probable with any initial discrete storms. The KFWS VWP recently observed around 100 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH, which may support at least a low-end tornado threat across north TX. The tornado threat will likely be higher along the Red River and northward into south/southeast OK in the vicinity of the triple point and along the stationary boundary where more backed low-level winds are noted and environmental vertical vorticity is higher. Although the potential for a few tornadoes exists with any initial discrete convection, rapid upscale growth is possible within an hour or two after initiation, and may limit the overall tornado potential. Nonetheless, a tornado watch is likely by 21 UTC. ..Moore/Grams.. 05/03/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT... LAT...LON 32349878 33399800 34149751 34849731 35219655 35269553 34959507 34309498 33569502 32899532 32439620 31919717 31539805 31409867 31639898 32349878

Well I guess SPC was onto something with the original threat area after all!

D3 slight not even rrmotely close to the original D5. Barely inside this subforum!

Big northward shift for the D4 update

Surprised it hasn't been extended into Dallas county yet

The couplet on that DFW storm is on a beeline to my house

Not liking that storm heading into the San Antonio metro...

Any chance the tornado eatch gets extended eastward into the metro?

Seems like there is talk of the original threat area getting severe weather on D5 instead?

Impressive footage here

Odd set of "holes" between the three discrete severe thunderstorm watches

https://twitter.com/TxStormChasers/status/1385739691689857027?s=19

Seems to be back

https://texasstormchasers.com/2021/04/23/4-23-2021-live-storm-chase-childress-tx-storm/ Live shot of the Quanah storm EDIT: Serious funnel cloud on stream

Pretty quiet for the immediate DFW area for the time being

Some big hail in the warning area. 1.25 inches Severe Thunderstorm Warning TXC237-337-497-231945- /O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0085.210423T1903Z-210423T1945Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 203 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Montague County in north central Texas... Northwestern Wise County in north central Texas... Northeastern Jack County in north central Texas... * Until 245 PM CDT. * At 203 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Newport, or 14 miles north of Jacksboro, moving northeast at 60 mph. HAZARD...Half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is possible. * Locations impacted include... Bowie, Jacksboro, Nocona, St. Jo, Sunset, Stoneburg, Forestburg and Newport. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3383 9748 3347 9749 3324 9818 3341 9830 3347 9824 3347 9798 3375 9798 3381 9787 3386 9777 3388 9764 TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 233DEG 51KT 3343 9810 HAIL...1.25IN WIND...<50MPH $$ Sanchez

Got a couple hailers in Dallas county already

Severe watch issued

Eastern part of the sig hail threat trimmed back substantially