cheese007

Man lots of observed tornadoes in the warnings rn

70/50 tor probs SEL0 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 80 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 530 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and Central Alabama Middle Tennessee * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning from 530 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds expected with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of storms will continue quickly east-northeastward this evening into Middle TN and northern/central Alabama. Very strong low-level/deep-layer winds will support the potential for tornadoes and widespread damaging winds as additional moistening occurs into the region. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Nashville TN to 25 miles west southwest of Selma AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...WW 78...WW 79... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 23045. ...Guyer

Jackson MS livestream https://www.wlbt.com/livestream/

70/60 tor probs on the new watch SEL8 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 78 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Louisiana Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms currently over western Louisiana will move eastward through the afternoon, affecting the watch area. Locally damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Mc Comb MS to 45 miles south of Houma LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart

Mesoscale Discussion 0354 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 Areas affected...Parts of southeast Texas...western/northern Louisiana...southern/eastern Arkansas and adjacent western Mississippi and Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 301529Z - 301630Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Intensifying thunderstorm development, including supercells, is expected through Noon-2 PM CDT, accompanied by a gradually increasing risk for tornadoes and potentially damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Strong southerly low-level flow, including speeds of 50-60+ kt around 850 mb, will be maintained across Louisiana coastal areas through much of the lower Mississippi Valley into this afternoon, in advance of a vigorous short wave trough pivoting in negatively tilted fashion across the southern Great Plains. In association with this regime, a more substantive influx of low-level moisture is ongoing off the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, across upper Texas coastal areas as far north as areas near/east of the Ark-La-Tex. This moistening is forecast to continue gradually spreading northeastward and eastward across the lower Mississippi Valley into this afternoon. The latest Rapid Refresh suggests that substantive boundary-layer destabilization has already been occurring the past few hours across much of Louisiana. As this persists and develops northeastward, coupled with strengthening large-scale ascent, weakening mid-level inhibition seems likely to allow for increasing and intensifying thunderstorm development. In the presence of wind profiles including strong deep-layer shear and large clockwise-curved low-level hodographs, the evolution of a few supercell structures seems probable. This may include within a developing line along an eastward advancing convectively enhanced surface boundary, and isolated discrete cells ahead of it, through 17-19Z. ..Kerr/Hart.. 03/30/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 32609343 34749192 35918979 31769122 30059368 32609343

50mph+ gusts here in DFW

I think a lot of folks checked out earlier when things looked more sloppy

90-60 Tor probs on the new watch SEL1 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 61 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1040 AM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern and Southern Louisiana Central and Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1040 AM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A tornado/damaging risk will progress east-northeastward into and across additional portions of southern/eastern Louisiana into much of central and southern Mississippi through the afternoon. A few strong/intense tornadoes (EF2+) are possible, particularly with any semi-discrete supercells that develop to the east of a quasi-linear band of storms. This risk is supported by an increasing moist/unstable air mass in the presence of very strong deep-layer/low-level shear. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast of Greenwood MS to 20 miles south southwest of Houma LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 60... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 21040. ...Guyer

hell of an outbreak in central tx that's for sure

That tor warned storm is heading straight for me in about 45 min

Austin and southern suburbs under tor warning

Yeah that looks almost textbook

Damage photos out of Jacksboro

https://livestormchasing.com/

Brandon Clement's stream down south between Austin and San Antonio looking interesting

TDS in southern Jack County per Texas Storm Chaser's livestream, heading straight for Jacksboro

Already two warnings ongoing. That was quick!

Getting some sun out by the airport

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0054.html 70-50 tor probs on the watch just issued

Decline of the internet forum and all that

In addition to the frighteningly large D3 hatched, the D4 wording is pretty gnarly as well. Already talk of SigTors: ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190900 SPC AC 190900 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CDT Sat Mar 19 2022 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D4/TUE... ...DISCUSSION... Latest deterministic and ensemble runs of the medium-range global models continue to depict likelihood of a continuation of potentially substantial severe-weather event across the central Gulf Coast states Tuesday and into Wednesday. This includes a reasonable probability of a regional-type tornado outbreak centered over central and southern Mississippi for Tuesday. As strong upper low/trough over the central and southern Plains region shifts gradually eastward, a belt of very strong mid- and upper-level southwesterlies will likely extend from east Texas across the Tennessee Valley, atop a 60 kt southerly low-level jet. The resulting/anticipated degree of veering and increasing flow with height falls within high-end parameter space for significant tornadoes. In addition, the strong low-level southerlies will persistently advect high theta-e Gulf air (dewpoints averaging in the upper 60s) northward into the pre-frontal warm sector, which -- despite limited heating due to cloud cover and potentially ongoing convection in some areas -- will combine with modestly steep mid-level lapse rates to yield what should prove to be ample CAPE at least as far north as central Mississippi, and later central Alabama. Overall, given very strong shear, the strength of the upper system, and the Gulf warm sector expected inland, a high-end environment appears likely to exist across a geographically-focused area centered over the central Gulf Coast states, supporting potential for a substantial outbreak of severe/supercell storms. Severe weather potential will likely continue into Wednesday, though the upper system appears likely to become somewhat sheared/elongated as the upper low/jet streak shift northeastward across the Ohio Valley, while secondary energy digs southward across the southern Rockies and into northern Mexico. Thus, while an amply moist/unstable environment and still-strong shear will exist across southeastern Alabama/southwestern Georgia/the Florida Panhandle, and possibly expanding during the day into parts of South Carolina supporting continued potential for severe storms, the risk will be lesser than Tuesday's event, and should diminish with time into the evening hours. Still, all-hazards severe weather will be a possibility through the first half of the period across this portion of the Southeast. By Thursday, models begin to diverge in terms of pattern evolution; while the cold front may remain onshore, prior to advancing into the western Atlantic, prospects for severe weather remain questionable, and thus no outlook area will be issued at this time. Once the front moves offshore overnight Thursday, as the upper system shifts eastward, severe-weather potential should end over the Southeast. With large-scale ridging to gradually expand across the U.S. into the weekend, severe weather potential appears minimal a this time. ..Goss.. 03/19/2022 CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

Got another D5 enhanced to go along with yesterday's

SEL8 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 48 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 355 PM CDT Thu Mar 17 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Southern Oklahoma Northcentral Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and move northeast through this evening, with a risk for large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts. An isolated report of very large hail will also be possible, in addition to the potential for a tornado or two. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north of Fort Sill OK to 25 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 22035. ...Bunting

Definitely "feels" like a bad weather day outside. Breezy, sunny, and warm

Outside this subforum but far south AL/MS and the western FL panhandle have a Day 2 ENH with a 10% hatched for sigTors tomorrow (3-18). Something worth watching