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PackGrad05

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Everything posted by PackGrad05

  1. PackGrad05
    I'm also just now catching up on overnight runs. The 12K NAM is the one showing the most, when last night it was the 3K. Take the average most likely.
  2. PackGrad05
    That's one of the reasons in previous pages yesterday, I mentioned that I don't see any place in Wake getting more than 2"... South of downtown, I fully expect trace to half inch of snow/sleet mix.
  3. PackGrad05
    Same thing happened during this system. Models had Raleigh getting a good hit, but eventually went to a trace.
  4. PackGrad05
    Important to note that the HRRR was still going and probably had another 6 hours of precip left for most areas.
  5. PackGrad05
    The HRRR was a beaut. Really nice banding the last 6 hours of the run.
  6. PackGrad05
    I just don't see any place in Wake getting more than 2" of snow, with most areas getting less than 1". I think model snowfall is overdone because sleet will be mixed in like crazy. I'm looking at thermals, QPF, and also what I know about climo around here.
  7. PackGrad05
    For Wake, my official prediction is: 1-2" North of Downtown Raleigh Trace of snow south of Downtown Raleigh, mainly a mix.
  8. PackGrad05
    My bottom corner of Wake didn't quite get NAM'd haha. I'm still expecting a sleet bomb
  9. PackGrad05
    The NAM is a much longer duration event than other models.
  10. PackGrad05
  11. PackGrad05
  12. PackGrad05
    NAM is colder than the previous run.
  13. PackGrad05
    The low transitions to the coast and cranks up.
  14. PackGrad05
    The HRRR looks good. The coastal is starting to crank up which will fill in the moisture.
  15. PackGrad05
    That's only through 1PM
  16. PackGrad05
    Very good consistency. almost identical for NC
  17. PackGrad05
    One of the difficulties of being a TV met is that you really only have 3 primary opportunities to communicate to the general public....AM News, lunch News, evening news... People take what you say and run with it.. Plus, you have to take time to create your graphics and your package, and by that time it is already outdated.
  18. PackGrad05
    RAL leans heavily on their Futurecast model
  19. PackGrad05
    It's icy for sure. I'm just looking at impacts, not snow amount. I think Wake will be an icy mix.
  20. PackGrad05
    Very consistent
  21. PackGrad05
    the 12Z 3K NAM has a LOT of moisture for central NC. Much longer duration event.
  22. PackGrad05
  23. PackGrad05
  24. PackGrad05
    EURO continues to look good for central NC. Eyewall, I think that's a good looking map.
  25. PackGrad05
    Also, beware of looking too closely at globals at this range.
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