Jump to content

PackGrad05

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,778

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by PackGrad05

  1. PackGrad05
    Friday isn't looking quite as bad for RDU based on the track of the low (further north and west). That's a good thing but got to keep monitoring.
  2. PackGrad05
    The last 2 runs of the EPS have been a nice look for March 9 - 13 time period.
  3. PackGrad05
    The 00Z EPS really likes the 11-13 time period... Still watching that. Also watching severe potential for Friday.
  4. PackGrad05
    Turned my attention to March 9-11 now.
  5. PackGrad05
    Both the latest EPS and GEFS have members showing snow for RDU around 3/4. The EPS has been consistent with it (50% of members or less) for the past couple days.
  6. PackGrad05
    EPS seems to be trying to sniff something out around the beginning of March. GEFS starting to bite as well.
  7. PackGrad05
    23rd - 27th looks interesting?
  8. PackGrad05
    SREF Link https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ Just now coming into range.
  9. PackGrad05
    Definitely a westward trend. The good thing is we still have a few days.
  10. PackGrad05
  11. PackGrad05
    Here are the 18Z EPS and GEFS probabilities of 1" of snowfall.
  12. PackGrad05
    The placement of the low looks good on the NAM to me.
  13. PackGrad05
    Correct. I looked at snowfall, not snow depth. But the way this season has been, I'd love to see a snow fall, even if it doesn't stick!
  14. PackGrad05
    The probability of 1" or greater improved on both the GEFS and EPS (12Z) as compared to previous runs...for most of central NC. Still low, but good trends.
  15. PackGrad05
    GFS isn't good for Raleigh, but there is still time... and I'm waiting on the GEFS too.
  16. PackGrad05
    00Z EPS still has a decent chance, but not as good as yesterday's 12Z run. Does anyone know how to view the 06Z EPS on weathermodels.com? I have premium. 06Z GEFS trended in the right direction also and shows a greater chance. Neither is a slam dunk of course... at least it is something to track for once.
  17. PackGrad05
    As others have mentioned, the 12Z EPS is showing 24 members with something for RDU. That is up from 4 for the 00Z cycle. GEFS also more on board.
  18. PackGrad05
    I thought RDU already accorded a trace, which counts.
  19. PackGrad05
    The 00Z EPS rebounded quite a bit from yesterdays 12Z. 25/50 members showing something vs 5/50 last night. GEFS not on board as much. .
  20. PackGrad05
    12Z EPS decreased a good bit from 00Z, but not a complete wash. 12Z GEFS is still showing a good thump of snow around 2/3. With perhaps more around 2/8-2/10.
  21. PackGrad05
    12Z EPS looks pretty much the same as 0Z for central NC. 1" of snow is the mean. 12Z GEFS is just as good, if not better.
  22. PackGrad05
    The good thing is both the GEFS and EPS show "some" snow for central NC in the first week of Feb time frame.
  23. PackGrad05
    EPS still looks interesting between 2/3 and 2/6. Members all over the place.
  24. PackGrad05
    EPS has a good number of members showing something around Feb. 5 as well.
  25. PackGrad05
    I've said it before, but I think we will end up with an event that pops up within the 5-7 day range suddenly and is marginal (as always) but is a surprise. It'll probably be sandwiched between two warm-ups. That's typically the NC way in these types of patterns.
×
×
  • Create New...