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About mgerb
- Birthday 04/17/1981
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Reverse that. Drought Watch to a Drought Warning.
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Maybe so, but still 100+ hrs out, so too early for "definitely." As for tonight, HRRR (14Z below) keeps keying in on this area. FWIW (perhaps not much), it seems to have a good handle on the southern extent of the convection in NW PA, whereas some other mesos are further north.
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Another 0.78" in the bucket today. 1.86" over the past 3 days. Nothing excessive, but a nice soaking to break the dry spell.
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Not much thunder here, but was just far east enough to take advantage of the late intensification. 0.45". Seems like the storms caught up with the outflow (which had surged far ahead earlier), and maybe some extra kick from the old sea breeze boundary (which at least some of the mesos seemed to suggest once the storms got around the Turnpike and east).
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Looking good for storms with further development out west, and starting to see some activity fire along the sea-breeze.
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There has definitely been some new development on the southern flank around Lancaster over the past 30-60 mins.
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My experience remains that whenever I leave home, I miss the best storms. Really never fails. Missed Ida, missed a severe thunderstorm last year and arrived home to a huge part of a tree in my driveway (never happened before since I've lived here), and so many others (which is amazing, since I don't travel much and mostly work from home!).
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Yup. This was what it became. Nice tiny heavy shower.
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Towering cu base right outside my window. Let's see if anything comes of it. But think this portends a relatively active afternoon.
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And 98 at New Brunswick, so pretty well in line. I think the dry conditions as of late may be playing a role in that regard.
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Yes, I have noticed and wondered myself. But it's not a new issue. Ever since it was installed, it seems to be a local warm spot on the hottest of days. And often noticeably warmer than New Brunswick (same sensor type, btw). Aside from any sort of subtle senor bias (which I doubt, but can't preclude with 100% certainty), I think it's probably site related, as the station sits on wide open (and often dry) grasslands, whereas New Brunswick tends to be a more foliated environ. But we'll keep an eye on it. FWIW, it was well in line with other area stations today (granted, not a super hot day).
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0.06" here. Heavier rain missed to the north and the south.