
ShawnEastTN
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Everything posted by ShawnEastTN
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I am too usually from south winds as my exposure is north with a ridge generally blocking south winds. Usually in strong south winds I can hear them roaring up the ridge from my house. Though even with that protection I still tend to somehow get the odd gust that comes down the ridge. Those odd gusts have been numerous in the last hour, more than normal. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I was surprised by that also. I guess using their modeling of winds seemed to show an area with a lull in the center of the central valley. Might be a big bust in their forecast. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I believe it the wind in the last hour has increased rapidly here. Only gusts to about 15 an hour ago but now gusting past 30. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah pretty awesome look, especially if we get snow right at the onset. IMBY it's been a really long time since I had snow that lasted even in patches longer than 3 days, and considering I live on the north side of a ridge which gives lots of protection from solar radiation that says a lot. It's been years for me, probably all the way back to the back to back events in 2014 and before that probably 2007. Basically a decade ago to find snow that lingered on the ground more than 3 days. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Schools down this way have begun closing for tomorrow. Crazy I don't recall school closing when I was a kid due to forecast winds. Meigs, McMinn, and Bradley among others have all closed for tomorrow. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yes! I live about 70 miles north of Chatt but that's what we got too a crazy ton of sleet with just a little snow on it at the end. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think if my memory is correct down this neck of the woods I remember 96 not for being a blizzard, but I think down in my area it was freezing rain that switched to long duration sleet then eventually to snow. Think we may have only gotten a few inches of snow but it was over ice and packed sleet. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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Getting Graupel & sleet pellets mostly graupel at my house currently. The Mping is my location. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah was sitting outside taking the dog out and started hearing the sound graupel pellets make hitting the leaves of the woods beside my house. Caught a couple pellets on my sleeve to verify. It's 39 so very warm but kind of didn't think it would overcome the dry air. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Also critical to our region usually is having the regions north and northwest with some good snowpack. That hasn't really happened yet but looks like over the next few weeks might finally begin to start building. I have family in the UP of Michigan and they at Christmas had zero snow on the ground which is very very rare for them. Usually by end of December the Superior snowbelt region has a couple feet of snow on the ground already. For Detroit area in lower Michigan it's the second least snowy December ever recorded and among the warmest. As I sit and type this it is snowing now suddenly at my house, looks like virga is trying to overcome the dry air. Not really snow but graupel. Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 1,263 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
ShawnEastTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same here 2.12". Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk- 548 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same here only got about an inch maybe slightly more than and the roads were a disaster, still are on back roads even now. The March storm we got 6" and roads were just wet. This storm is the second time I'm my memory MRX downplayed a dying clipper and busts big time. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The death rattle of this little clipper has been impressive. Just shy of an inch here. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Returns back in eastern AR look impressive, not sure they make all the way to us, if they do would imagine it would be much later tonight like between 7 and 8. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX updated their snowfall totals for most of the valley from less than an inch for up to an inch. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Huntsville NWS just upgraded their SPS to a WWA for North Alabama and Southern Middle TN. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ground already starting to whiten up here. Not used to snow falling on frozen ground. Don't get that very often in my neck of the woods. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well now it has picked up to light snow with visibility lowering slightly in the distance. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I was under that bright band for about 15 minutes before they began reaching the ground. Might have similar delay as it eventually overcomes the dry layer. Also picking up a bit now. Not quite light snow but more than just random flurries. Close to being light snow though. Very small dry flakes currently. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The one more northerly in the image is me, can confirm flurries are falling. Aggravated that Hytop is offline because for snow it's a better radar for me than Morristown. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seeing my first flurries in the great valley. Sign the atmosphere is becoming a bit more moist. Funny it's close to MRX forecast start time of 2PM. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Clouds moving in during the morning should help keep temps likely at best in the upper 20s as the warmest, and frozen ground every flake that falls sticks, my biggest concern is overcoming dry air, and how much virga do we deal with before reaching the ground. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe the moisture is catching up to better lift right at the valley before it fizzles out, or maybe it's hitting the mountains and there is a slight amount of backing in the flow. Backing in the flow, up against the mountains sometimes contributes to surprise totals in the valley. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Tomorrow's clipper might be fun. I remember back several years ago a similar scenario with dying clipper expected to only bring flurries. While at work in North Knox at the time I remember coming out of the door not expecting anything and finding 2" of snow. While not a lot of snow it was one of the most impressive busts because MRX had only called for just flurries but also specifically said not enough moisture to accumulate at all. Maybe we'll get lucky. Weak dying systems are very capable of creating surprises. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
ShawnEastTN replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Alabama Met James Spann posted on FB yesterday the area down wind had gotten about an inch of snow, but it was still snowing at that point from that lake effect band. Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk