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Wx4cast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Wx4cast

  1. Trust me it was. I measured at midnight 1.3 " wiped the board, measured again at 7am 21" wiped the board, measured at noon 11.5".
  2. Kucera out performed ALL 10:1 snow maps....it tends to do well when you're dealing with a very cold artic airmass and column combined with the extreme FGEN.
  3. I can drive! I can drive! A bit anyway..back to work soon!!!

  4. :( Still cannot drive...
  5. Beep beep varoom....

  6. I was looking for the green CAPE, wait make that cape!

  7. I want to go back to work but it ain't going to happen anytime soon! :(

  8. WTH is happening?

  9. Working on 3 weather projects...2 on severe weather and one on the rains associated with TS Lee compared to the rainfall associated with TS Agnes and Eloise

  10. Sounds like many of you had a blast with this past storm. Next one is for me and the east-central NYS folks too. Glad it worked out well for most.
  11. Getting rocked yet?

  12. Probably this (warm layers), dry layers and weak vertical motion. Also from an isentropic perpective ( a bit technical) my apologies you actually had winds descending DOWN these surfaces (negative lift) vs. going UP these surfaces. That will be changing soon.
  13. Thanks and you're all welcome. Enjoy the band when it rocks you. Nothing like 2-4 inch/per snowfall with the winds rippin' and whippin' too. Envy you buggers but my time will come. Remember: Have fun and enjoy!
  14. You should get into the awesome snow growth region after 8pm or so huge dendrites incredible banding. See above post See above post RUC has been off past 2-3 hours on LP placement and precip too far east and south
  15. I think you may be wrong based on the 15z SREF LP track so far west and also jump west on its QPF progs. Just my take. I think POU will definitely get 10-12 but there's a MOD probability 40% for 18 inches.
  16. Here are some Time Sections (TSEC) from the OOZ GFS. RH is color contoured. Temps are overlayed WITH snowgrowth region highlighted in lavender. Wind barbs usual convention in knots and upward vertical motion contoured in yellow. First station is HUDSON NY, 2nd is POU, 3rd is ALB, last is GFL:
  17. 18z SREFs did too along with lower probabilities for .3 and .5 qp across ENY. This said I still think during the rapid Intensification period of this storm it will slow (and possibly loop) and/or jog some to the NW more towards BID Sound then pass off to the NW of the BM.
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