wxdawg10

and another one bites the dust..dum dum dum

radar looking kinda juicy for the triangle. Some narrow heavier bands popping up as well. Someone is going to pick up a quick inch maybe 2.

Full blown meltdown on twitter right now from NE mets and followers. i feel bad for them but a little glimpse of the heartbreak we go through every winter..

put a fork in it, winter is over. Start planning those walks to the park

NC has gotten burned so often by this dreaded trend..forced to watch in misery as friends up north get pasted. The meltdown threads of lost storms the past 5-10 years on this forum are nothing short legendary. and actually quite sad. There are three constants when it comes to winter weather in the southeast that you must always remember. 1. The warm nose will always overperform 2. The Northern trend is inevitable 3. The Appalachian mountains will shred anything to their west Anytime you're tracking a storm, apply these principles in relation to said storm. and always lean towards more conservative solutions. But to give everyone some hope, the Euro and other models do have a suppression bias. The trend north is just an overcorrection for that bias overtime. So NC folks should be in a good position when taking that into account.

i just hope for the sake of our brothers up north this thing doesn't take a 200 mile last minute jog east and misses almost everyone..that'll be enough pain to last a lifetime

Euro buries boston with a modest 40 inches of snow

why are you saying that like it's a certainty..no one knows exactly where these bands set up. you'll get people excited only to be disappointed. Allan Huffman touches on this in his first call map.

Dare i get excited..im holding back but there are hints..we keep going back to it..so close. Lot energy and variables with this storm models don't know how to act or where to look. the signs are there..

Don't forget the GFS was the first to sniff a potential major storm for the mid-atlantic. it's starting to sniff it out again and bringing it back. These trends are telling me EURO is about to cave again. But man theres gonna be a lot of chaotic energy floating around out there and someone is bound to cash in on the east coast

who's ready for the February torch? ☺

is it just me or has he been a little..unhinged..recently? he's losing it

that GFS run..oh boy. not just NC but the entire east coast is destroyed lol.

what about climatology? there is no warm nose to contend with for this storm. What falls will stick. wake is in spot where heavier rates are possible. get under a band and you can do 3 inches in 3 hours. If anything, i can see this busting higher. So its definitely possible.

they talked about the westward push in their am briefings and that it's likely they'll be updating amounts. they already increased RDU from 1-2 to 2-3 inches. i expect warnings later today.

Lol GFS is a win for pretty much the entire state of NC holy..expect snow totals to start going up

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1484271620600610822?t=fCxNlxZcUJDGLmrCMHxgEA&s=19

Ole Gregg has been burned so many times on past storms he's become the snow grinch

why is it crazy? this is not the first time or will it be the last. You know how hard it is to forecast winter weather down south. Model chaos is almost expected.

Fishel flip flops as the models go

i mean not really..the areas that were expected to get the most precip havn't really changed.

Dude..you sing this same song everytime. Models are tools. experienced Mets who are paid for this look at science not just models. stop living and dying by models and their effectiveness.

for areas that i noted, most models are consistent in showing moderate to significant accumulation.