osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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It’s ripping here. Best snow I’ve had all day.
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Lowlanders been winning since 2016. They have made out fine.
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Snowing nicely with some big flakes now. Dry slot is ominous, though. Looks like most of us will either barely end up in the expected range of snowfall or not quite make it to that range. Tonight should help if it can dump a few inches.
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Light snow here. All surfaces, including roads, already covered.
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Let’s goooooo. Saw there were over 200 new posts in here and knew something huge must have happened. Need to reel in a HECS!
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Disappointing as 3K had been so consistent. Hopefully, just a one-run blip. We’ve seen that before.
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Ehh, looks less north unless the coastal really dumps. That southern MD area over to the Delmarva looks like the big winner, at least one a lot of the models.
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I thought 6z was a small step back but I didn’t see them side by side.
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I wouldn’t freak about the NAM. It’s still the NAM and out of range and 3K is the good NAM anyway. That’s the one to focus on as we get closer.
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NAM seems really fast? Out of here pretty quick?
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Trash. Like the NAM on steroids. Not sure it’s ever been right. Always has insanely high qpf.
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I still really like where we are to be very close to ground zero for this. Just let the Euro slowly nudge north and I expect at gametime it will end up a tiny bit north of modeled.
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Just a few miles to my east. Ouch.
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Where are you in HOCO? Must be the only person getting rippage.
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Yeah, this was dirty work by the squall.
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Squall heading right for me and @WxUSAFsuddenly somehow skated by us to the north. Hoping I get paid back Monday.
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Must have just missed you then because it just missed me. Looks like another small one heading our way but a bunch of snow squall warnings out in PA. Maybe those hold together and get down here? They are far away, though and no modeling shows them reaching here.
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Got the very northern edge of the squall coming through Hoco. Got quite gusty for a couple of minutes and was enough to quickly whiten some of the mulch. I bet the meat of that squall is really good. DC got double squall action. Great event down there.
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Looks like a few squalls might head for Central MD. First one might just miss me to the south but could get @WxUSAF
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The NAM is definitely known to be overly optimistic on qpf but was the qpf on this run that out of line on what we saw from some other model runs earlier? There might be a larger area of the heavier qpf on the NAM but other models showed areas with 1.25 to 1.5ish inches of liquid.
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Had a few flurries. Interesting to see that blowup out near Winchester. That looks significantly south of where the squalls/heaviest snow was supposed to set up today. Looks like it will probably be mostly a miss farther north unless more stuff suddenly blossoms. I wonder what impact, if any, this may have for Monday.
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I get the extra caution. I just don't understand the timing whatsoever. WWA was hoisted yesterday afternoon. They should have just let everyone know yesterday evening. So dumb.
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I like where the Euro is if it stops shifting south now. I want the max around Nova/DC leading up to the storm.
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Why does the primary hold on so long and doesn't transfer to a coastal and really crank like some of our bigger storms?
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Aren't temperatures going to be quite warm when the squalls go through? I mean, maybe some of the favored northern areas are stuck in the mid 30's and it will snow hard enough to overcome the temp and stick to the roads, but my temp is forecasted to be in the upper 30's tomorrow afternoon. It would have to snow ridiculously hard for awhile to have any chance of sticking in those temps.
