osfan24

Probably the only thing more worthless than the GFS is the NFC East.

Don't know how you post tweets but Bastardi referenced Snowmageddon come Jan 10 and on.

We are now punting all of January??? I know our winters are generally backloaded, but even second half teams don't want to go into the locker room down without any points on the board.

Ha, it's a little early for that. I think there is a middle ground between those saying winter is over in late December and those with false hope of something happening in the next 2-3 weeks when it appears the cold air is MIA.

Man, the 1996 pattern vanished. Whoops, DT! Remember when people were saying there were just way too many vorts to track and it would be almost impossible not to hit in the next two weeks? Looks more like time to close the blinds until at least mid-January.

Talking mid-January now, huh?

The good news is the GFS isn't usually right. The bad news is it's usually right when it doesn't show snow.

I thought that band was going to end up missing me to the west and now it looks like it's just going to miss me to the east. Fringed.

Maybe that's sleet heading into Columbia. Otherwise, it's a Hoco deathband. Seeing oranges now on radar.

Looks like maybe a little batch of snow blossoming in Moco right now? Seeing some yellows.

Same. I just looked outside and was like wait, what? Why is there snow back on my car? Nice little dusting to freshen everything up!

I'm looking at NAM and HRRR and don't see anything.

Where is that coming from? I don't see any model showing anything.

At least that city would be a part of this subforum!

Got clouds out there this morning. Lots of clouds. Great storm. We should start making threads for sunny days, too.

Interesting. We moved to Ellicott City (Turf Valley area) and we had drizzle mixed with flakes and then some very short periods of all flakes when it came down a little harder. I thought I was going to see some steady snow but the best returns out by Mt. Airy really fizzled to almost nothing as it came east.

Fringed!

Let's gooooo!!! LOL. What is the earliest those of you in the city and metro areas actually look for it to snow? I always think of first flakes being legitimately possible around November 20 and then obviously first actual legit snow December 5.

Just moved from Southeast Elkridge to pretty much the far northwest part of Ellicott City, so hoping that's a good omen for this upcoming winter and many to come.

Call me crazy, but I think it's too soon to be making declarations like that. 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 wasn't that long ago. 2015-2016 was a crappy winter but we still managed an epic storm. I'm more frustrated than anyone at the lack of snow, but sometimes we go through these stretches around here. It was just hard to remember brutal stretches like this because we were on such a heater there for awhile. Maybe climate change is really impacting our winters, but I think it's too soon to say our last several winters have been poor because of it.

Heh, we are getting our payback, though for some, last year was FINE.

Guidance wasn't the only thing that mishandled plays this past week!!!!!!!!

This week was really the worst. I still haven't gotten over the game. Thought I at least had a great snow pattern to cheer me up. So much for that.

Hour 336 on the GFS is amazing. It's just dumping on 95 with the deform with a 983 mb low right off the coast. Have to imagine there is significant winds with that. You know, the fake system that isn't real that I'm going to analyze for the heck of it.

Yeah this weekend was just a bonus if it worked out. I'm not even a fan of that setup. They usually end up way worse in my actual yard than on the pretty maps. The flip to sleet always happens way sooner than progged and it's mostly a sleet/freezing rain event.