osfan24

I still think this is more of an interesting situation for Cranky's backyard (Eastern NE) than here, but I still think this one's worth casually monitoring for another day or two.

Fringed!

Like how it rains in Boston and NYC and pours snow here.

LOL Feb 8th is a top five snowstorm for our area. Look at that deform!

Nice little trend at 12z today. Biggest Euro run of our LIVES on deck!

I was only 10 in 1993, so I really don't remember that storm. I really wish I had.

I started looking back at old videos and maps of past storms today and I found a video someone posted that showed clips of The Weather Channel covering the 1996 storm. The storm had already put down close to a foot of snow and Mancuso said new data was showing another 30 inches. Guess that didn't happen, but still an incredible storm. It was the one that got me into snowstorms. I just remember huge drifts and an amazing week of snow followed by rain and flooding.

Oh man, I thought we were either looking at a big one or basically nothing and not something in between from this.

Not too much. Temps could be off by a few degrees or a high pressure could magically appear, but there just isn't really any cold source to tap. Just look at those temp anomalies. The entire continent is flooded with warm air.

I'd love to get into the weather field. Seems like I missed my calling as well, but calc, physics and chemistry were a real struggle for me. I was much more a history/English guy.

Really? I don't remember any sleet and definitely not any thunder, but I was flirting with or in the dry slot for a lot of the morning, so it was a lot of flurries and snizzle. Then the backside finally pushed a little east and it absolutely cranked for about 4 hours or so in the afternoon. Feel like I picked up 8-10 inches of snow in the afternoon, maybe even more. Was absolutely dumping and the wind was blowing so hard you couldn't see halfway down the street. One of my favorite winter storm memories for sure.

Was that 2003? I was in College Park at the time and the storm was a bunch of sleet toward the end, but we definitely didn't get as good of a storm down there as the Baltimore area for that one. Totals were definitely lower in the DC area.

I definitely got some sleet at the end of the storm in the Catonsville area. I think I was close to two feet, but areas to the west definitely did better because of some mixing. It's funny people talk so much about how almost all of our big storms mix but none of our recent big storms have mixed, at least not at my house.

Yeah, that week in 1996 was awesome. HECS followed by two surprising overperformers that dropped another combined 10-15. One of the better clippers I can remember.

The silver lining is that it seems we are due, so later in February or next year you would think we have to get something big. And those are also BWI totals, so many of us would have higher totals than that.

DCA almost never gets as much as BWI even though I think BWI is usually on the low side. DCA measurements are always super low, and I think their measurement for the 2016 blizzard was laughably low in comparison to surrounding areas.

ULL gets way too far north, as does the low that develops near the coast.

Good look if you like rain.

It's so far out there and this winter has been such a dumpster fire that I can't believe anyone is actually paying attention to that already.

Was last winter the one where there was a pretty good storm that hit DC? There was a storm one of the past two winters where DC got like 10 inches or something. My area got like 6ish I think but it snowed lightly all day and there were even breaks during the day where it stopped and there was even some melting. I was like the worst 6 inch snowstorm I've ever seen and I'm not sure I ever even saw 6 inches actually on the ground.

Think it just depends on the winter. We had a stretch there where we could hardly do any wrong some of those winters. The past four winters have been meager to say the least, and the only thing keeping that from being five is the hail mary 2016 blizzard.

People are seeing pretty snow maps and combining that with being snow-starved and just grasping at straws. Maybe it ends up breaking in our favor but the odds are highly stacked against it and I'm certainly not expecting anything around 95.

Usually, a rain to snow scenario involves a changing of direction in the winds, and when the winds shift to the NW, that will bring in the cold air but it also brings in dry air and shuts off the precip. A lot of our snow-to-rain scenarios involve an established cold air mass where the storm track doesn't necessarily matter, because the initial cold air is enough to overcome the initial push of warmer air. Eventually, the warm air wins out. This past weekend was like a very poor man's example of that, but had a bigger batch of precip and heavier precip been aimed in our direction, we could have done pretty well with that. Same thing can also happen with coastal systems if they are too close. We can begin as snow and then switch to sleet and even rain as the winds become too easterly/southeasterly. IIRC, 2011 was a strong upper level low that did create its own cold air. Once we got on the back side of it, we switched over to heavy snow. I love that storm. Just wish it had lasted longer. It really crushed some areas northeast of us. Talk about a heavy thump though, especially of very heavy, wet snow.

EPS not on board is why no one is excited. OP is probably out to lunch.

I'm excited for the negative NAO to pop up in time for Opening Day.