osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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I bow down to Yoda. Modeling was terrible for this.
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You first, lol. Nice downpour and some decent thunder and lightning right now. This storm has really blown up on top of us.
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Second batch seems to be building back to the southwest some and also expanding a bit in general as it progresses. Looks like 95 will get hit again. Yoda was right. Pretty active night.
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Nice batch of storms to the northwest. Will likely miss mostly for 95 crew, but north and west people, and especially as you get into Southern PA, have had a quite active day. Southern PA has been the big winner past few days.
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Oh, well I'm just looking at Baltimore-DC area. Obviously plenty of warnings if you start going way back into parts of Virginia outside immediate DC metro.
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I mean, for most it did. We had a Severe Thunderstorm Watch and we had a couple of warnings I think, which all seemed rather weak. Line actually looks like it is strongest right now crossing the bay.
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Yep. Not much here, but at least the clouds helped cool things off and there was something to track.
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Everything fired too far west, too late today.
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I'm still not seeing it. HRRR looks pretty pedestrian and it's the most bullish model I've seen.
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Yeah, that's it. The one storm farther west fell apart. Tomorrow looks interesting, maybe Friday, too.
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Any kind of westerly wind is never a great sign for us. Gotta have that southeast wind!
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Tornado Warning for Philly. Talk about a day up there. Looks like some widely scattered activity could sneak down here in a few hours.
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Looks like all that stuff popping is just west of 95 and probably won't really blow up (if it even does) until it's too late and probably crossing the bay.
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I did notice latest NAM shifted the line around some and gave more hope for our area. HRRR doesn't have much. At least it gives us something to watch today, and obviously the next few days. Been generally really boring weather-wise for a long time.
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NAM seems to like Thursday a lot more than Wednesday for us.
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Latest NAM skips right over us.
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Swing a miss for the area today. Nice line from about extreme northern MD into PA.
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HRRR is basically a whiff here. Looks like the best shot is west of Philly.
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Looks ok in Southern PA. Harrisburg might be a bit too far north verbatim, but you are close enough that you could see action.
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Latest 3K is a lot less impressive than the 6z was.
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Makes sense. Not seeing any severe risk, and chance of just thunderstorms even seems low looking at radar, but pretty good batch of moisture headed this way.
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Threat has shifted way far south in the past 24 hours. Gone from Central MD to south of DC.
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Wow, radarscope's total accumulation is way off then. Has under an inch up there.
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Radarscope has a general half inch or so across the region. Frederick area is the big winner with 1-2 inches plus.
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Just judging by radar, this looks like a 1-2 inch deal. Don't really see the flooding concerns unless the intensity increases with this line and there is some training.
