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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. As much as we rag on the GFS, the Euro is no longer a model you can feel great about. You used to always want it on your side and felt like every model would eventually cave to it. That's no longer the case.
  2. Definitely more traditional way, but man, not much snow out of that one.
  3. Nah we compared it to the last several runs. I don't want anymore sloppy storms. I want a clean snowstorm. Been forever. I don't feel like going through and getting some sloppy 3-4 inches and then seeing it mix and turn to rain/melt and be a sloppy mess. That's basically all I've seen since 2016.
  4. If you liked the mid-December storm, you will love this one.
  5. Garbage. Quick thump to light mix/dry slot. Let's hope we can get back to last night's solution.
  6. Just going to join the chorus and say it looks warmer/north. Let's see how the next few frames look.
  7. In the words of Ji, this is the most important Euro run of our lives!
  8. It seems like forever away. I know it's not but, with the way this winter has gone, especially with modeling, and then just how it's been since 2016 since a legit storm, and the fact the area of snow is so small with this one, it just seems like so many things can and will go wrong in the next several days.
  9. Yeah, hoping it's legit and holds together and clips me. Should roll through here fairly soon.
  10. I missed whatever fell overnight, but there is even a light dusting on colder areas of the sidewalk.
  11. I don't remember December 2009 being that cold, but the second February 2010 storm was quite cold. I also remember 1996 and 2003 being quite cold at times. 1996 it was in the mid teens and snowing. 2003 the temperature fluctuated, but I remember it being in the high teens and sleeting in College Park toward the end of the storm. Don't think 2016 got that cold until the deform.
  12. Same. You get an -AO and -NAO for this long, especially now that we've gone several winters without a HECS, I expect a HECS and then some.
  13. It's a billion hours away. Stop over-analyzing.
  14. I'm just waiting for the best pattern since 1996 to show up. I would take best pattern since 2016 at this point.
  15. I like the idea of a long range thread and then separate threads for specific threats that pop up within a week. Perhaps a lot of those threads will die a slow or quick death when the threat fails to materialize, but who cares? It will just fade down the board over time. It gets confusing in here sometimes when people post about a certain model run and don't specify the storm or date of the threat they are giving their analysis about.
  16. Literally laughed out loud at this.
  17. I mean, if the pattern on the 18-20th is really good and then extends out and it is real, fine. I can certainly live with waiting another 10-12 days for a pattern that could be very good for a few weeks. But if the can keeps getting kicked down the road, and then there are signs February doesn't look good...........
  18. Agreed. Friday wasn't a big deal to me at all. Early next week is where my focus is.
  19. The pattern holds promise for sure, but hard to get invested or excited about anything right now when there is literally nothing showing up on the models. And when one even hints at something, the others say no.
  20. If only this was the mid-December storm.
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