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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. It looks like there is nothing west of Winchester area. Not enough push from the south to get the good stuff into our area and keep the snow going longer.
  2. Back edge of this appears to be not all that far away and booking it.
  3. Steady light snow now. Small patches of driveway and sidewalk starting to cave.
  4. Very light snow now. Light dusting on the car. We've got a car-topper.
  5. Mostly light sleet here still. Gonna need the intensity to pick up to probably switch it to snow. Looks like some heavier echoes out toward Frederick now. This might fringe PSU. Looks like a 70 and south deal and really, probably more like a Route 50 and south deal, just looking at radar.
  6. Agreed. Think it's going to be a close call for me. This might be a DC suburbs special.
  7. HRRR looks good for mostly snow and then some ice, but the rates must be pathetic. Snows for 4-6 hours and most areas get an inch.
  8. My new bar for this is just give me some mid-to-late afternoon snow so I can go for a run in it. That's all I ask.
  9. Stick a fork in this one. Imagine having a -NAO and -AO for two months and getting a couple of sloppy inches. Enjoy the rest of your weekend everyone!
  10. Euro not showing much. Just not much precip. Also may be a tad warmer, but it's mostly noise/lack of precip problem.
  11. Yeah, we are probably 24-48 hours away from officially setting our sights on the big President's Day storm.
  12. Agreed. The GEFS is completely worthless. Basically locked into some kind of snowstorm, and now we aren't at all.
  13. Euro seems on its own and that small band of snow seems to keep shrinking. This still seems like a half hour or hour of snow and then sleet.
  14. Yeah, I am sure if it snows hard and we get 6-10 or something, I'll be happy with that, even if the duration is quite short. It would be my best storm since 2016. Maybe I'm just spoiled from that hot stretch we were on, but man, it seems like forever since we got crushed and I'm like a drug addict needing a fix. I just got pretty optimistic between PSU saying this was the period he was targeting for a big one and then seeing the GFS with a few runs of a monster storm and the CMC also joining the party.
  15. It's not like the temperatures are crazy warm, but my guess is what kills us is the fact that the air is so modified by the time it reaches us. I'd also guess that snowcover is down as well to our northwest, which again, doesn't help fight the modifying air as it heads our way.
  16. I did, or at least hoped. I'm chasing a big one. Pretty clear we are heading away from that. Precip slipping farther south, also looks like either less precip overall or the storm is just pulling away quicker.
  17. It's super frustrating. How can we FINALLY get a -AO and -NAO for almost two months, one of which is prime climo, and basically get absolutely nothing?
  18. Still time, but this is going the wrong way. The trend is your friend. And the the trend this season seems to be playing out with this one. I'll give it a few more days, but I'm already out on this pity Monday event. If this thing fails, I think I'll be taking a break.
  19. I agree. Seems too flat. Want it to dig and go negative and close off.
  20. The Para looks like 6-8 or so. Not bad, but was expecting better by comments on here. I guess it's all relative?
  21. My only issue with that is how did things change THAT much over the past several years? 2013-2014 is the coldest, snowiest wall-to-wall winter I can remember in my lifetime. 2014-2015 finished cold and snowy. 2016 had a massive blizzard. March has been a colder, snowier month recently. It's obviously happening and having some kind of impact, but for the impact to be THAT massive in just several years?
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