I did, or at least hoped. I'm chasing a big one. Pretty clear we are heading away from that. Precip slipping farther south, also looks like either less precip overall or the storm is just pulling away quicker.
It's super frustrating. How can we FINALLY get a -AO and -NAO for almost two months, one of which is prime climo, and basically get absolutely nothing?
Still time, but this is going the wrong way. The trend is your friend. And the the trend this season seems to be playing out with this one. I'll give it a few more days, but I'm already out on this pity Monday event. If this thing fails, I think I'll be taking a break.
My only issue with that is how did things change THAT much over the past several years? 2013-2014 is the coldest, snowiest wall-to-wall winter I can remember in my lifetime. 2014-2015 finished cold and snowy. 2016 had a massive blizzard. March has been a colder, snowier month recently. It's obviously happening and having some kind of impact, but for the impact to be THAT massive in just several years?
Maybe I'm missing something, but this is barely even double digits, if that, for most. Would not call it a crush job. It needs to stay tucked more NW so it snows much longer. Duration is just too short. It's trying to get there, though.
Yeah, CMC is getting closer and it was great because we get snow on snow on snow in a week, BUT I still think this system has so much more potential than it showed. It only snows a max of like 12 hours over us. Get it to tilt negative and tuck a bit farther northwest and crawl away and then we are talking.
GFS looks a lot like the mid-December storm just from a snow to mix to drizzle scenario. Couple inches of snow maybe before the changeover. Would be almost identical.
Seems fine for this range. Would like to see it linger a bit longer. Storm gets in and out pretty quick, which limits boom potential. Just need it to climb the coast a bit more.