osfan24

We are fringed but whatever. The idea is there. Those are minor details. The pattern screams big one.

Just a pretty glaze of ice on the trees here and maybe an icy sidewalk. Looking forward to moving onto the storm late next week.

18z GFS is pretty much a total swing and miss on the arctic front/pre-Christmas storm idea.

There's actually a few bombs in there. E20 looks amazing. I wouldn't toss E40 out of bed with me. And then there are a few more solid hits after that.

No doubt. That was the storm that got me interested in storms. I was only 12 at the time so it was going to be my first huge snowstorm. The drifts were legit and it kinda changed snow removal in the Baltimore area. After that storm, major investments were made in bigger plow trucks to handle storms like that in the future. But I know 2016 has it beat. And possibly the first 2010 storm. It was probably pretty comparable to 2003.

I think I remember that one. That was a nice, steady snow pretty much all day. Just light to moderate nonstop. I think I got close to 8 from that one if I have the right one in mind. I'm actually surprised it was quite that warm because it never really snowed hard and I clearly remember there being pretty snow-covered streets. Not necessarily highways, but the main roads in my town were definitely snow-covered.

Its one OP run of one model and the arctic front would be cool, but I will say that I'll be a bit disappointed if this hyped period doesn't lead to something substantial before Christmas. Doesn't need to be a HECS. I know December 2009 doesn't happen often, but when we have a nice pattern to set up for snow right before or, even better, on Christmas, it would be really nice to cash in.

LOL, it would probably be ripping 3-4 inches an hour in that deform band sitting over a good number of us. To dream!

Not sure about Baltimore County, but in Hoco, the virtual learning is asynchronous, so I voted for it even though I also want my kid to have snow days. That way, they can do the work whenever, whether it be between breaks from outside or even later that week or weekend, as it doesn't have to be turned in the next day, either.

Yeah that's a weenie model.

#nina

That was when I was in Elkridge so I was a bit east of you then. I did get a couple inches tacked on in the evening, but overall, was disappointing for me given all the melting and what surrounding areas received. Guessing I would have fared quite a bit better at my current location.

Oh man, forgot about that one for a second. Oddly, that storm was irritating to me. Got dumped on overnight and then dripped during the day and went from about a foot of snow down to a few inches. Meanwhile, I think PSU stayed colder and it kept snowing there all afternoon and he got like 20+.

I don't really remember anything individually about 2013-2014. I just remember it being the most amazing, true winter from a wall-to-wall standpoint. Every single little wave seemed to hit us and either dump as much, if not more, than the forecasted amount, and it was just freezing cold the entire way. It's what I'd imagine it would be like to live in some place like Chicago or Minneapolis. And then 2014-2015 seemed like a repeat, except it was for only the second half of winter. I'd definitely take 2009-2010 over it, but I think 2013-2014 might be my second favorite winter I've ever experienced.

I would like to say that I will take one for the team and am willing to deal with the Ji disappointing winter of 2009-2010 this year and until the end of time.

Does it? Have we ever gotten a good storm with a low pressure tracking into the Great Lakes before it redevelops off the coast? That's just way too far north.

Is it really giving us a better chance at the rare big dog or is it just increasing how much of a dumping we get in our rare big dogs?

Very interesting that, at least for December, it seems like a PNA+ is the most important feature for a significant storm and the chance of a storm. I guess because we need the cold air more in December than later in the winter?

It seems like the patterns also usually end up slightly delayed, or even once it flips, it takes awhile before it's our turn.

Is the pattern really showing big dog looks before mid December though? It seems like it would actually be mid December or so for when the NAO might relax and we get a shot at something big? Dare I say 2009?

Surprised it got that warm. Thought it was a lock we would beat it by at least a couple of degrees. The current setup at BWI probably impacted it.

Straining looking for flakes here. Getting dark and precip won’t be heavy so going to be hard to tell either way. Looks awesome up in Westminster.

Damn, nothing here. I was outside during lunch and had just a couple raindrops.

GFS for the win? It seems the soaking it advertised from last night through later today has materialized. Glad we are finally getting some rain. We desperately needed a soaking. I will admit it was really nasty at our soccer technical training last night. Mid 40's with steady rain, somewhat heavy at times, and a nasty little breeze. Had to have felt like high 30's.

I thought they cancelled their season months ago.