osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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That’s awesome! Congrats! You guys are getting the goods down there! Enjoy!
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I think it’s just going to miss us southeast unfortunately, although I think you are in a better spot than me for this one and will make out better. My move out here has not paid off so far lol. Maybe next week! I’m guessing I can make a run at 4 if it can generally snow like this through midnight.
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Significant icing Wednesday? I thought that had gone away? And I didn't think it was ever something we would call significant.
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I don't understand all of the bust talk. The Euro/GFS/NAM all look solid for DC and ok for the 70 and south crew. Could it bust and the HRRR be right? Sure, but that would be a huge model bust among basically all the best models. Even CMC didn't look that bad IIRC.
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Lock up that NAM run @WxUSAF. I'd be thrilled with 6 inches. My fear is we get half that.
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Looks worse to me. Looks south again.
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Looks very meh up this way to me.
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It's amazing the GFS won't give up those ridiculous snowfall totals. Is it ever going to back down? The freaking NAM has significantly less.
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Warm/wet and cold/dry is the fear.
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This is a joke
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Saw this in January and got almost nothing.
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Only 13 more days and maybe something significant, lol. PSU seemed to nail this upcoming two week period as a long shot. Might get something small to moderate Tuesday but then it looks like a lot of rain to wash what little we get away in the week or so that follows.
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This thread got quiet, lol. Looks like a lot of qpf going to be wasted on rain coming up at the moment. Hopefully, things change in future runs (I'm sure they will).
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Yeah, it looks beautiful. No mix at all.
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GFS cutting back on the heaviest totals from last run by a significant amount. Starting to move toward other guidance on intensity/qpf.
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Could it be the fact that much of it occurs with temps in the high 20's/low 30's during the day?
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Haha, it definitely is a matter of the order of what the models show as to what everyone's expectations are. I also think I'm just starved for something significant. It's been nine years. Half a foot is fine, but 6 inches or less is basically all I've had for 9 years (that's what she said). The GFS is just a stronger and much longer storm than the Euro. Which is right? Probably the Euro since it's the better model, more realistic scenario, and generally matches the other models.
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I watched Bernie Rayno's video last night and he was saying how the GFS has a stronger piece of energy than the Euro and that's why it's showing more snow but thought that Euro was right. Said there is that other piece of energy that forms the next storm right on its heels so it doesn't make sense that the energy for the Tuesday storm is as strong as the GFS suggests.
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Seems really doubtful. No other model has anything remotely close to that amount. All other models are 1/2 to 1/3 of that. Looks like 6z Euro amounts went down slightly for most.
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The most annoying part about this run is wave 1 goes south but wave 2 does not.
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Yeah, it looks weaker to me. More Euroish.
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If it played out like that, which it wouldn’t, that would be actually highly annoying here with such bigger totals north. That was a great run of the GFS, though. So many chances. Storms also seem to be adjusting south a bit.
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That late-week deal is so close to something more.
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More realistic output compared to last run. Seemed like it maybe moved out a little faster. Maybe a tad warmer as well. Guessing that combo cut down totals by several inches for most.
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FOLKS…..LOL
