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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. Looks more like late November than early February. And this is before the warmup this week in the northeast which will push the pack line back to Winne. Wouldn’t use early feb climo with snow pack and SST’s up here… Better use a significant + surface temp bias in SNE or risk getting burned.
  2. Big snows will always be close in Dec and Jan, we live in New England lol. I def would not feel good about a forecast on that merit.
  3. The outcomes to date have been pretty damn textbook significant El Niño. Just following that seasonal forecast would have yield great accuracy results to date
  4. That curious look for the cold shot this weekend with massive ridge in plains and trough in the northeast is going to continue to flatten out It looks very MJO phase 6ish. Notorious lag, i know but we've been in phase 7 and will remain so into the weekend. Sell BN. Think good chance it turns out AN both days. Likely really nice for early feb..
  5. The banding was good enough for 6" to the sea coast NH down to- Newburyport MA/Lawrence. But temps a huge limiting factor throughout. Pretty cool driving from Dover to DAW and seeing snow amounts triple in ~8 miles.
  6. Way too much of this white rain has been registering as snow on these algorithms. That’s the only reasonable explanation.
  7. Radar looks good in northern mid Atlantic but that’s decaying as it swings east, and the mid levels open back up. Misconception to think that whole structure swings through tonight in that same state. It’s also going to speed up. I feel like 2” is optimistic scenario here; and most likely outcome is a coating.
  8. Those areas that dry out are probably going to warm up to mid 30’s, before temps fall again in the evening Very early spring like.
  9. I think part II is the focus for just about all except northern berks and southern VT, which cash in on both. Part II will produce in most areas but she’s going to be racing east at that point, so expectations need to be low, especially with BL temps hovering at/just above freezing throughout.
  10. Kinda makes sense with that early H5 occlusion causing two qpf maxes, one west, the other east, later on Monday. Much less in between…
  11. It’s not just the sun man; be objective.
  12. Of course now all the detractors will think I’m saying dendriteland will have p-type/ratio issues tomorrow. No, I’m not…sorry guys…
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