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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. jbenedet
    Portsmouth NH: yesterday high : 73 This morning’s low: 63 Today’s high: ~80 About normal for…September 6th.
  2. jbenedet
    Clearly see that the obs were with a freeze in the seacoast region but the neighborhood flowers that remain seem unaffected. My rose bush in full sun area is still flowering…Will see if it still looks the same by this time tomorrow.
  3. jbenedet
    Why would we take measurements here—in the sub tropics??? I think what they found is what we should have expected; but it doesn’t explain anything. The theory is the current/circulation is slowing (with time) from north to south, NOT south to north…. A similar study should have been performed much further north/east, closer to the Azores—upstream of the cold pool.
  4. jbenedet
    The GFS op is going to crush snow weenie souls again this season.
  5. jbenedet
    Overall a very average feel to the air and look to the sky. But with the sun breaking, we will have another AN day incoming. +2. “Behind the front” in the sea coast area.
  6. jbenedet
    69 for the low at PSM.
  7. jbenedet
    +25 happens with a run of the mill warm front. -25 would take a volcanic eruption
  8. jbenedet
    Hit 80 at PSM
  9. jbenedet
    PSM hit 60 yesterday despite being socked in all day in a classic damp and nasty coastal New England day. That’s +5 … Pretty telling on the amount of warming going on locally in the seacoast region…
  10. jbenedet
    Don’t you manage a landscape/snow removal business? I mean, I get it ….if that’s the case.
  11. jbenedet
    6z GFS MOS has a high of 49 at PSM…. Man does that have bust written on it….
  12. jbenedet
    The dews are what tipped me off to the deep arctic origins of this. Those are legit. Airmass from the northwest passage.
  13. jbenedet
    Arctic airmass and we only -4 for two days; today and tomorrow. Then we +15 and +20… Rinse repeat.
  14. jbenedet
    Bottomed out at 38. Felt like an idiot this morning after rushing in the plants last night. All would have been fine. I even took the motorcycle into work today….
  15. jbenedet
    38 for a low. Still didn’t take the plants in. I’ll have to take em in tonight though as we radiate. Only time those progged cold lows verify on MOS is under legit radiational cooling conditions.
  16. jbenedet
    PSM with 72 for a high yesterday. And that was with overcast moving in by noon.
  17. jbenedet
    Today is another 70’s in the warmer locations in eastern SNE to seacoast NH.
  18. jbenedet
    Reality, as in “near normal” will be like a day around here. Sunday, into Monday morning. Monday one of those 30F+swing days. Cold low. Around 30. But By Monday afternoon temps are going to be pushing AN again; 60ish. The deepening -PNA trough is what’s making the transient cold shot possible. But it’s also the big boot with the upper level jet out of the pacific southwest with reach to our region by early Monday.
  19. jbenedet
    We understand averages I hope. The global average temperature increase is subtle precisely for this reason… Our region is warming much faster than average.
  20. jbenedet
    When we BN it’s -3; when we AN it’s +15 Not a surprise when you consider our cold source regions are warming the fastest….
  21. jbenedet
    #uncertainty
  22. jbenedet
    18z GEFS now has ~50% tracks into the Caribbean. Big change from earlier runs. That’s actually the better bet to me vs the sharp recurve northeast after landfall in eastern Cuba.
  23. jbenedet
    Yea and this lat/longitude with no imminent recurve is a high probability for a US strike somewhere…. The current global guidance says otherwise but it’s not resolved properly at initialization; developing a Mid latitude cyclone; not a TC. So everything off in that regard based on disturbance’s current characteristics. The NHC rightly has this tracking west with the easterlies toward eastern Cuba.
  24. jbenedet
    I’m about done with this mountain peak snowpack topic but looking at the EPS and GEFS it looks brown up there through early November. Really warm stretch.
  25. jbenedet
    Above freezing is one thing. But to lose a pack, for days is much higher threshold up there this time of year, but as PF mentioned; not uncommon.
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